Friday, January 03, 2025

Sonic Inversions-- Reflections and Report: US Senate Select Committee on Intelligence: Review of the CIA's Efforts to Provide Facilitated Medical Care and Benefits for Individuals Affected by Anomalous Health Incidents: Audits and Projects Report 24-01

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In sum, the absence of a clear case definition for AHIs, uncertainty surrounding the origin of
AHIs, and CIA’s evolving organizational position have greatly complicated CIA’s ability to
consistently and transparently facilitate medical care, provide compensation and other benefits, and communicate clearly about AHIs to the workforce. These challenges will be detailed throughout the remaining findings in the report.

 Perhaps nothing serves as a better harbinger of the inversion of power relationships in the emerging systems of governance by techno-bureaucratic caste collectives than the meandering story around what was for a time called Havana syndrome and is now known by its more appropriately banal name: Anomalous Health Incidents (my essays on this long story here: Cuba Sonic Weapons Affair).  Future generations may come to understand this episode for an important instance in the movement from a political to a bureaucratic state organization in which liberal democratic institutions shift the locus of their power relations from that between popular sovereigns and their elected officials, t that between the administrative apparatus of a state and the political organs that serve as disciplinary appendages to their operation. This will come to haunt both liberal democratic and Marxist-Leninist systems, though in different ways; and it will ultimately transform that techno-bureaucracy as well, as it transitions from one driven by human cliques to one in which human caretakers serve the virtual systems created to make techno-bureaucracy both more efficient and less "biased." 

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 The turn, or better the inversion of the relationship between the political and administrative apparatus might be gleaned usefully from a recent report distributed (in a public version) by the US Senate Select Committee on Intelligence: Review of the CIA's Efforts to Provide Facilitated Medical Care and Benefits for Individuals Affected by Anomalous Health Incidents: Audits and Projects Report 24-01. The Report is worth a careful read, if only for the careful language used to gently describe the power relations around one of the most innocuous areas of the sonic weapons tale--treatment. 

According to the 18-page report, titled "Review of CIA's Efforts to Provide Facilitated Medical Care and Benefits for Individuals Affected by Anomalous Health Incidents [AHIs]," the CIA's response has been marred by inadequate communication and "messaging challenges," inconsistent medical support, delayed compensation and a dismissive attitude toward affected individuals. These failures have hindered efforts to provide proper treatment and left many victims struggling to access benefits. "CIA has provided benefits and compensation to many AHI reporters, but ease of access to these programs has been inconsistent and affected by CIA's organizational position on AHIs," the report states. * * * The report revealed that despite a growing number of cases, the agency was slow to standardize protocols for identifying and treating victims. The report stated that the CIA facilitated AHI-related medical care for nearly 100 CIA-affiliated incidents, but many individuals faced obstacles to timely and sufficient care. (Newsweek)

Perhaps nothing sums up the techno-bureaucratic contradictions  into which the apparatus of state is now inevitably  than the notion of consumption: for a techno-bureaucracy with collective objectives, individuals are productive forces that must be consumed in order for the apparatus to attain its objectives. Those who are to be consumed may embrace their fate willingly; many, however are taught a valuable lesson about the relationship of the individual to the techno-bureaucratic mass organization. Those who are about to be consumed produce a residual element that eventually will consume the consuming apparatus--distrust.

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Distrust of CIA has been a common theme among AHI reporters the Committee interviewed.
Many of the AHI reporters with whom Committee staff spoke for this review expressed some
degree of distrust of the Agency, including some who perceived that their career was negatively impacted for reporting an AHI or seeking support related to their AHI. AHI reporters’ distrust took many forms. For example, many AHI reporters who spoke to Committee staff did not trust CIA to act toward them in good faith, which led to them frequently question the motives behind CIA's actions. This distrust was further reinforced by poor communication and a lack of transparency. AHI reporters’ distrust also stemmed from their concerns that CIA’s analytic effort on AHls has not been objective. More than a dozen individuals who spoke to Committee staff questioned the objectivity of CIA’s analytic line on AHIs, its analytic trade craft, or the soundness of its findings. Finally, AHI reporters have also cited “stigma” or fear associated with reporting or talking about AHIs, which could have a chilling effect on future AHI reporting. The Committee assesses that (_’IA could benefit from an examination of how its response t o AHIs has impacted its workforce, to include issues of morale and trust. Report, p. 14).

As compliance oriented cultures become more deeply embedded as the emerging driver of government and the State, and where the political branches increasingly become instruments that are managed by the organs they created to manage objectives and compliance based systems. These systems, in turn represented an innovation that sought to move from the more ancient and personal forms of government--by commands enforced through an apparatus of investigation, prosecution, and judgment, to one that internalized behaviors through systems of punishments and rewards administered  through systems overseen by technically proficient "experts". That change, momentous in hindsight, also required a willingness to devolve authority from political to technical organs, and to permit these technical organs to further devolve the burdens of fulfillment to the objects against which they were created. Security, secrets, efficiency and the universalization of policy driven social relations not merely changes power dynamics within government, and between government and those governed, but it also changes the way in which each of these factors in the production of collective order and stability are conceptualized, treated and ordered within a collective. The Sonic Weapons adventure suggests some of the detritus of this transformation--in this case a product of the increasing disjunction between the way things are and the way we used to think they were. 

The Report follows below. 

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Thursday, January 02, 2025

Sovereign Wealth Funds in 2024--An analysis from Global SWF in their 2024 Annual Report

 

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In some ways, it is becoming increasingly difficult to tell States and private actors apart. That may be the most important trend of the coming year. That convergence certainly has been evident in the construction of interlinked techno-bureaucracies overseeing a compliance based policy objectives driven economic environment. Increasingly it is also seen in the constitution of financial markets and market behaviors where, at some point, it may be state based objectives that will drive private markets. That appears to be discernible from the 2024 Annual Report of the folks at Global SWF.

Every January 1 the folks at Global SWF distribute their 2024 Annual Report - always worth reading and considering. This year they offer the following takeaways include:

--State-Owned Investors reached a historical peak of assets under management, thanks to market returns and sustained high oil prices. SWFs now manage US$ 13.0 trillion (+6.1%), and PPFs balance sheets stand for US$ 25.0 trillion (+6.0%).
--Deal activity also increased from last year to US$ 216.6 billion (+5.3%) in 585 deals (-2.2%). Average tickets size of US$ 370 million is the highest in the past six years.
--Mubadala was the top spender this year, with US$ 29.2 billion in 52 deals including ADIC, Mubadala Capital, and MGX. 85% of the capital went to developed markets.
--The Oil Five (ADIA, ADQ, Mubadala, QIA, PIF) broke every record with US$ 82 billion invested (+10.3%). Other groups like Canada’s Maple 8, the Singaporean funds or Australia's supers were also more active than in 2023.
--India and China continued to be popular, although investments in Emerging Markets dropped 12%. The UK and Australia increased in popularity dramatically, when compared to 2023.
--In that context, AustralianSuper was named “Fund of the Year” thanks to its growing activity, while the UK was named “Region of the Year” given its revamped investment landscape.
--The “Theme of the Year” went to Digitalization, including Data Centers, Digital Infrastructure, AI and Space Investing, which together saw US$ 27.9 billion of sovereign investment.
--Real Estate and Private Equity stayed flat, while Infrastructure and Credit continued to rise.
--The year saw seven new SWFs, nine new offices overseas, 27 new CEOs and 15 new CIOs.
--The outlook for 2025 is uncertain as new governments around the world settle, but we believe State-Owned Investors will continue “Soaring to New Heights”. We expect the industry to keep growing to 2030, when it may reach US$ 75 trillion.
Subscribers can access the full Annual Report HERE. The Executive Summary follows below.

 

Call for Papers "Towards a Global Ecological-Economic Legal Framework," ESIL IGs on European and International Rule of Law, International Environmental Law, and International Economic Law

 


 

My friend and colleague Paolo Farah (Professor and Coordinator, Eberly College Interdisciplinary Research Collaborative on Global Challenges and Local Response Initiatives, Director of the Energy Justice and Just Transition Lab, West Virginia University, Eberly College of Arts and Sciences, John D. Rockefeller IV School of Policy and Politics) has asked me to circulate the call for papers of what will be an excellent event:  "Towards a Global Ecological-Economic Legal Framework," organized in collaboration among threeESIL  interest groups: European and International Rule of Law, International Environmental Law, and the International Economic Law. The event will take place at École Normale Supérieure – Paris Sciences et Lettres (ENS-PSL) on 6-7 June 2025.

The Call for Papers may be accessed HERE and below.

Wednesday, January 01, 2025

Francis 2025 New Year Address--"Forgive us our trespasses: grant us your peace"

 

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Pope Francis delivered his 2025 New Year Message. It is worth a read.  It suggests a basis for human global solidarity that builds on the prior work of his predecessors but in a new way. The core of his address consisted of the renewal of a three part plea for normative transformation of the odering of social collectives:

"First, I renew the appeal launched by Saint John Paul II on the occasion of the Great Jubilee of the Year 2000 to consider “reducing substantially, if not cancelling outright, the international debt which seriously threatens the future of many nations”." [This has been important element of developing state agendas which Fidel Castro sought to theorize in the 1980s; seeIdeologies of Globalization and Sovereign Debt: Cuba and the IMF]

I also ask for a firm commitment to respect for the dignity of human life from conception to natural death, so that each person can cherish his or her own life and all may look with hope to a future of prosperity and happiness for themselves and for their children. . . Here I would like once more to propose a concrete gesture that can help foster the culture of life, namely the elimination of the death penalty in all nations. [In places like the United States this may become an element of sovereign choice grounded in divided sovereignty; Dobbs v. Women's Health Org (US Sup. Ct, 2021)]

 In addition, following in the footsteps of Saint Paul VI and Benedict XVI, [19] I do not hesitate to make yet another appeal, for the sake of future generations. In this time marked by wars, let us use at least a fixed percentage of the money earmarked for armaments to establish a global Fund to eradicate hunger and facilitate in the poorer countries educational activities aimed at promoting sustainable development and combating climate change. [some version of this may be realized; G20 calls for taxing the ultra-rich to end global hunger and poverty]

The gesture and its sentiment, rather than its form, suggest a trajectory of movement that is worthy of engagement. The goal is in sight certainly, its pathways may one day be charted. In the meantime there is this.

The text follows below.

 

The Orishas Speak: The 2025 Letter of the Year of the Yoruba Association of Cuba (Letra del Año para el 2025 de la Asociación Yoruba de Cuba) and My Preliminary Interpretation



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Orunmila! Elérí Ípin, Ìbikeji Olódumarè, A-je-jù-Oògùn, Obìriti, A-p'ijó-ikú-da, Olúwa mi, A-to-i-ba-j'ayé, Òrò à-bi-kú-j'igbo, Olúwa mi, Ajiki, Ógégé a-gb'ayé-gún; Odúdú ti nídú orí emèrè; A-tún-orí-tí-kò sunwòn se, A-mo-i-kú. Olówa Aiyere, Agiri Ilé-Ilógbón; Olúwa mi; amoimotán, A kò mo O tàn kose, A ba mo tàn kose, A bà mo tán ìbà se ke. [Orunmila, the witness of our fate, Second to Olodumaré, you are more effective than medicine, You are the immense presence that avoids the day of death, Lord Almighty save us, mysterious spirit that battles death. Salutations are due you first in the morning, for you are the force than produces equilibrium among the forces on Earth, you are the one than can reconstruct  the creature  whose lot in life is bad, you are the repairer of bad luck, those who come to you encounter immortality. Lord and undeposable ruler, perfection in the house of wisdom, Lord infinite in knowledge, we who fail to know you  fully will fail, if we could but know you fully, all would be well with us.]   (Afolabi A Epiga and John Philip Niemark, The Sacred Ifa Oracle (Brooklyn, NY: Athelia Henrietta Press, 1995))

So begins the invocations of the Babalawós of IFA to Orunmila, that divine manifestation of wisdom and the conduit through which such wisdom is sometimes made available to humanity. Such wisdom is, as is traditional in many places and among many cultures, oracular. It is provided through manifested by other divine manifestations, in the case of IFA, through  Ellegua/Esu, the tricky and quite moody divine manifestation of divine spirit of connection, before the work of divination, of connection to the divine, may be commenced. 

Since 2012 I have written of the annual letter of the Cuban Council of the High Priests of Ifá (Consejo Cubano De Sacerdotes Mayores De Ifá), the practitioners of traditional religion brought over from West Africa with the slave trade and now naturalized as a powerful indigenous religion throughout the Caribbean and now growing in the United States. (e.g., 2024, 2023, 2022; 2021; 20202019; 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015; 2014; 2013; 2012).

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Every religion connects the structures of divinity to the human communities around which their worship is structured and social, political, economic, and cultural communities are organized. To that end, the priestly caste platys a very specific role as mediator, interpreter, and as the incarnation of a social order grounded in divine principles and rules.

In most states, the priestly role has been transformed.  But it is useful, as one examines the priestly role in modern western states, to consider a more traditional relationship between the priest and the state.  One of the more interesting manifestations of the role of religion within political life is that of the priests of the practitioners of the old religions of Africa as re-established in the Western Hemisphere, particularly in Marxist-Leninist Cuba.  (here)
That priestly role is exercised in very specific ways among the great traditions of Western Religions: Judaism, Christianity, and Islam.  It shows a more variegated vigor among Non-Western religious traditions.  These are well known.  Yet most of these have sought to marginalize the great traditions of African religions as a barbaric variant of primitive idol worship that had been suppressed elsewhere.  And yet those religious traditions remain as vibrant, their theologies as complex, and their practices as rich as those other religious traditions that have sought over many centuries to supplant them. 
 
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 Systems of divination  have also been attached to and express religion for a very long time. Divination takes many forms. They have one thing in common--their systems represent a concise mapping of the cognitive universe within which the community of the faithful can understand the world around them and the processes, principles and patterns through which it manifests itself and operates.  In contemporary spaces, the role of religious divination has been taken by descriptive and predictive analytics--by the virtual built on the foundations of the simulacra of a reality which it is meant to mimic and from which it is possible to time travel virtually (Jean Baudrillard, Simulacra and Simulation (U Mich Press, 1994; Alfred W. Criosby, The Measure of Reality: Quantification and Western Society 1250-1600 (CUP, 1997)). One might even be tempted to suggest that these systems even add the divine element with the introduction of generative artificial intelligence as the driver of predictive divination. More traditional systems of divination attempt to set out in text and image the way in which their own worlds are ordered and the pathways and markers of cognition are constructed, and realized through deep embedding in the ordinary course of the lives of social collectives. Prominent among them is the Book of Changes--the I Ching, born during the shaman period of Ancient China, and organically embedded in and as Tao and Confucian overlays, serving as philosophy, religion, oracle and Dao (Benebell We, I Ching: The Oracle (North Atlantic Books, 2023)). The Ifa follows its own contextually driven path as divination and as the expression of a system of cognition principles around which the world is rationalized and perception ordered (Hermeneutics (Interpretation): The Ifa Concept of Cosmology as the Basis for Divination; Celebrating Black History Month 2024 in the US--The Ifa Divination System in the Western Hemisphere).

To realize that objective, at the start of every year the leaders of the great indigenous religion of Cuba conduct, through a series of ceremonies, a general divination for the country.  And so it was in the early hours of the 1st of January that leaders of the various branches of the Afro-Cuban religious communities met. The results of that divination, and its advice, is organized into a "Letter of the Year" (Letra del Año) (on the history of the Letras del año see HERE (Historia de la Ceremonia de la Letra del Año )).
La letra indica que es lo que comunican los Orichas a las família de santo y creyentes, como les irá en el transcurso del año en curso, y lo que deberán hacer para que, las posibles tragedias venideras no los agarre tan desprevenidos. Por esa letra, se regirán todos los familiares de ese ilé (casa) sin excepción, durante todo ese año, y en ella quedan determinados cuales limpiezas (Ebbós) deben hacerse todos los miembros. [The letter indicates what the Orishas communicate to the orisha communities and uninitiated believers (the laity), how they will fare in the course of the current year, and what they must do so that possible coming tragedies do not catch them so unprepared. The letter serves without exception as the rules and instructions that serve as the basis for the governance (and guidance) of those religious communities, each ilé (house), throughout that year, and in it are determined which cleanings (Ebbós) all the members should undertake.] (EcuRed, Letra del Año)).
The object of the annual letter is to provide guidance for the nation and its people, as well as more technical advice for the orisha communities of initiates and believers. More specifically it is meant to provide guidance for faith practitioners otherwise unable to receive more specific guidance within their own branch.
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Traditionally each of the major houses provided their own annual divination.  In Cuba a process of consolidation resulted in agreement among the major houses for a major joint divination and the production of a single national augury.  The year 2021 marked the 6th year of an important change, in which many of the most important branches of the faith came together to produce a unified letter under the aegis of the Asociación Cultural Yoruba de Cuba (ACYC). It also marked the last year of that union.  The rupture was a long time coming.  In 2019 there was some confusion over the authenticity of the Letter of the Year with two appearing in the early hours of the new year.  That was cleared up but not to everyone's satisfaction. 2020 proved to be a more difficult year. It caused the IFA practitioners to change their divination ceremonies in light of the realities of the pandemic. And indeed, in retrospect, when the Letras del Año for 2021 and 2022 are read for the ACYC, one can (again in retrospect) understand the inevitability of that rupture.  (For more read an extended discussion in my analysis of the Letra del Año 2024 HERE).  

From 2024, however, the various local and regional associations have again sought  movement toward a consolidated  augury. Notice of this renewed union was conveyed 26 December 2023:

A raíz de diferentes encuentros sostenidos previamente, se efectuó este 26 de Diciembre de 2023, en nuestra sede nacional de Prado 615 entre Monte y Dragones, municipio Habana Vieja, La Habana; la renovación del Convenio de Hermanamiento entre las Instituciones Religiosas Bantú de Cuba y la Asociación Cultural Yoruba de Cuba, representadas por sus Presidentes los hermanos Aldo Durades Román y Roberto Padrón Silva. Este nuevo convenio logra un respetuoso entendimiento y reafirma nuestros lazos históricos, protegiendo diferentes puntos de interés común para ambas instituciones religiosas, con cuyo hermanamiento, da continuidad a nuestros vínculos anteriormente suscritos y deja indisolublemente ligado a dos cultos con raíces y prácticas muy cercanas con origenes africanos. [As a result of different meetings held previously, it was held on December 26, 2023, at our national headquarters at Prado 615 between Monte and Dragones, Habana Vieja municipality, Havana; the renewal of the Partnership Agreement between the Bantu Religious Institutions of Cuba and the Yoruba Cultural Association of Cuba, represented by its Presidents, the brothers Aldo Durades Román and Roberto Padrón Silva. This new agreement achieves a respectful understanding and reaffirms our historical ties, protecting different points of common interest for both religious institutions, with whose twinning, it gives continuity to our previously subscribed ties and leaves us inextricably linked to two cults with very close roots and practices. Africans.]

What is also clear is that greater care appears to have been taken to avoid difficulties. As in 2024, the old practice of signalling hints about the oracle have been abandoned: "Sin embargo, hasta ahora, la asociación con sede en Prado #615, entre Monte y Dragones, en La Habana Vieja, no ha emitido señales sobre la predicción para 2025. En años anteriores, su equipo de comunicación solía ofrecer adelantos o detalles sobre la reunión de sus miembros para la elaboración de esta importante revelación." (Periodico Cubano, Letra del Año 2025: las expectativas de la comunidad cubana)

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The 2025 Letter of the Year is interesting especially after several years of oracular suggestions (2019-2024) of turmoil, explosion, and transformation traveling along pathways that are both conduit and are disrupted and reshaped. It is the year of finalization of the great cycle the unavoidable period of ending of which was introduced by disease (2019) and will end with the establishment of new structures (good and evil) toward which all will be expected to bed the knee. The Letter of the Year (the official version and that of the independistas; Miguel Febres Padron (below) and my own) point to the emergence of emperors and the corruption of order, of liars and of the return of defeated enemies to which victors had shown mercy.  This is the year of the sacrifices required for new ordering; and the sacrifices will be painful.
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This is echoed in the appearance of the ruling Orishas for the 2025 year; for the Official Letter of the Year they are Shangó (thunder and lightning, patron of hierarchs and wealth, giver and destroyer of power, order, hierarchy, institutions) and Oshun (the bringer and destroyer of success in enterprise; passion as against the rationality of Shangó); for Miguel Febres Padron Odua (royalty and governance) is the reigning Orisha, but supported by Yewa (mystery, secrecy and the enforcer of divine justice); for me Ogun (technology, creativity and innovation, violence, war, reordering) and Eleggua (pathways towards ends or dead ends and the enforcer of justice as he sees it). These are the incarnations around which the predictive analytics of IFA divination is organized. And like prediction analytics that is heavily path dependent on the layering of prior predictions (descriptive analytics), IFA also builds on its own pathways.  
 
Bottom line: The real surprise was the macro level end-games for total control based on honesty and justice and solidarity, while at the same time the micro level caution&warning that people are sort of in a shark tank and either they eat or are eaten as the rules if the game split everyone up into teams. 2025, then may be understood as a sort of Squid games season 2, one for collectives and one for individuals! For those interested in the full summary of the bottom line, please scroll down to the end of this essay.



Indeed, 2022 saw much of  that failure to attend to responsibilities, even as the apparatus of state appeared more decisively secure in the hands of its leaders. 2023 added something new and something old and the intensification of a rational irrationality fueled by passion. Obatalá returned as the ruling sign--but with a vengeance.  The oracles promised reason, but reason stretched and twisted to (absurd) extremes; with it the wrap of the irrational.  Here the influence of Oshun. Oshun brought the heart, and the passion, to the "right" reason of Obatala. Together they produced moments of reasonable completeness and resolution of matters and also ignited passion, and an intense irrational passion that burned one  in the fires of the heart. The intensification of both the mind (Obatalá) and the heart (Oshun) exploded in disastrous synergy, or perhaps worse, disastrous opposition. And indeed, by the end of 2023, this tendency toward the irrational, inflamed passions (love and hatred) appeared to consume all levels of social relations.--though its crucible appeared in the 7 October Hamas killing, the regional war it incited, and the irrational exuberance with which the spectators used it as a channel of their own irrationality, fears, etc. Its parallel with similar effects were echoed elsewhere--as everything intensified. If 2023 exploded, 2024 poured gasoline on the fires, intensifying passionate (ir)rationality and moving toward points of transformation from which there could be no return to the stable order before 2019.  2024 was the year in which the wages of the sins of the past, well past due, were collected with interest all intesified by the supra-moral judgment of Eleggua and the intensifying enforcement of Oya, the reigning Orishas. If Eleggua is the guardian of the pathways, the communicator and the trickster with a long view of justice and karma, then Oya (lyá Mésàn, Iansã, Yánsán), the spirit incarnated in and of the tempest, of the release of pressure, of the fierce warrior is also (like the Valkyries) the guardian of the spirit of the dead, serves as the harbinger and instrument of change. And that, indeed was what was experienced in the tumult that was 2024 on every level of human individual and collective activity--everything changed and what had been unthinkable began to emerge as inevitable.

The Letra del Año 2025 follows (in Spanish and with English translation) along with my analysis and discussion (in English). The letter may be accessed in full on the ACYC Facebook Page (here and here). The Letra del Año of the independistas (Fraternidad Miguel Febres Padron) may be accessed HERE (Odua is the reigning Orisha, but supported by Yewa) (also here). 

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