Showing posts with label markets. Show all posts
Showing posts with label markets. Show all posts

Wednesday, July 29, 2026

To be in Accord with the Times One Must Gauge (摩) the Situation--Reflections on 梁文锋投资者交流会实录 Liang Wenfeng (DeepSeek) in an Oracular Q&A

 

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AI 现在不缺品位和直觉,它缺的是持续学习的能力。[AI today isn’t lacking in taste or intuition — what it lacks is the ability to keep learning continuously.] (Liang Wenfeng / DeepSeek Investor Q&A [梁文锋投资者交流会实录])


Guiguzi the ancient Chinese rhetorician, in Book Two of his classic text (English, Guiguzi, Choina's First Treatise on Rhetoric (Hui Wu (trans), 2016)explained that there are situations when, to be in accord with the time one must grasp, or perhaps better, Gauging (摩; mó). Mo is the "probing" or "stroking" chapter of the Guiguzi. The character itself means to rub, polish, or feel by touch — and the technique is exactly that: instead of asking outright what someone wants or believes, you apply a small stimulus (a word, a gesture, a proposal, a show of feeling) and watch what comes back. Internal states, the text argues, can't stay hidden once touched — they surface as a response, the way polishing a mirror brings out its shine, or plucking a string reveals its pitch. The persuader who masters Mo works quietly and indirectly: probe, read the reaction, adjust, probe again, until the other person's true desires, fears, and leverage points are fully mapped — often without them realizing they've revealed anything.

The strategy comes in Chapter 4 of Book II in the classic text, coming right after "Weighing" (Chuai 揣) and directly before "Assessing" (Quan 權). While "Weighing" (Chuai 揣) involves figuring out internal motivations, Gauging (摩; mó) is the active process of testing those calculations through external interaction, mirroring, and verbal probing to prompt a predictable response or action, to be followed by "Assessing" (Quan 權) produces the necessary synthesis of Weighing and Gauging as a function of 道 (Dao--root, path, and sometimes their direction and cognitive conception), materialized as and within the values and premises of the society in which these are deployed. 揣 Chuai (Weighing/Estimating) comes first — a distant, analytical stage. Before any contact, you build a picture of the situation: the other party's power, resources, emotional state, what they love and fear. This is done through observation and inference, largely at arm's length. It's cartography of the mind before you ever set foot in it. 摩 Mo (Gauging) is the contact stage — you take the hypothesis built in Chuai and test it against reality. Where Chuai is theory, Mo is experiment: small probes, calibrated to "their kind" (摩之以其类), reading resonance and resistance in real time and refining the picture until it's confirmed. 權 Quan (Assessing/Weighing) is the deployment stage — now that you actually know who you're dealing with, you calibrate your rhetoric like weights on a scale, choosing different persuasive strategies for the brave, the timid, the greedy, the proud, and so on, in order to tip the outcome in your favor. So the arc is: map (Chuai) → test and confirm (Mo) → calibrate and deploy (Quan). Mo is the hinge — it's what turns a private estimate into verified intelligence you can actually act on rhetorically.

This is precisely the way one might approach the oracularly remarkable products of a long question and answer session given by Liang Wenfeng of DeepSeek in July 2026 (Liang Wenfeng / DeepSeek Investor Q&A [梁文锋投资者交流会实录]). And it becomes more remarkable still as a part of a long conversation, directed outward between  the giants of the emerging AI machine system techno-systems: Palantir, Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, Meta and their commentators (for me among the more interesting is Leo Aschenbrenner). Thsi essay considers the product of that Q&A in itself and as part of a broader conversation deeply embedded within the cognitive and phenomenological projections of a number of key actors all projecting their own strategies simultaneously and all in the process producing a surfeit of semiotic contestation that will likely reshape the cognitive framework within the technological mechanisms at the heart of this dialectic revolves. 

Introduction: 

At a recent investor meeting, Liang Wenfeng, founder of DeepSeek, elaborated on DeepSeek’s organizational culture, open-source philosophy, technology roadmap, and views on the competitive landscape of the AI industry. (Liang Wenfeng / DeepSeek Investor Q&A [梁文锋投资者交流会实录]). The remarks spread widely and a number of sites offered English language transcripts of the remarks some edited to appear in the style of Friedrich Nietzsche's aphorisms (see The China Academy; HTX; WEEX; RootData). I have compiled my own from this site through the former Twitter: HERE. With the assistance of translation apps I have worked through the original text, and include below the original Chinese text and a side by side English-Chinese translation.

The context was a planned DeepSeek IPO. The consequence of the wide distribution of the remarks and its deep or perhaps not so deep crawling through for nuggets by anyone interested in speaking to the remarks, was substantial: "DeepSeek has told prospective investors in its second fundraising round that it’s suspending the deal for now, people familiar with the matter said, days after comments widely attributed to founder Liang Wenfeng about US-Chinese AI competition went viral." (Fortune).



What I add here are presented in five parts: (A) my sense of the four principal insights that these 118 oracular aphorisms afford us; (B) a summary of the aphorisms and oracular statements; (C) Liang Wenfeng's Gauge (摩); (D) The Semiotics of Liang Wenfeng's Guiguzi Strategies; and (E) Liang Wenfeng's Remarks in a Broader Context. In a separate post I will then integrate these oracular aphorisms and those made on 29 July by Mark Zuckerberg for Meta.

A. four principal insights emerge from Liang Wenfeng’s remarks: (1) Strategic Restraint as an Asymmetric Competitive Advantage; (2) Radical Resource Efficiency Can Neutralize Massive Capital/Compute Disparities; (3) A Strict, Disciplined Focus on the "Main Line" to Intelligence; and (4) Non-Traditional, Vision-Driven Culture Over Corporate Bureaucracy.

1. Strategic Restraint as an Asymmetric Competitive Advantage. Traditional tech playbooks prioritize rapid user acquisition, aggressive monetization, proprietary moats (closed-source code), and competitive land-grabs. DeepSeek radically rejects this approach. By maintaining strict restraint—setting API pricing to earn only "reasonable" margins, open-sourcing its frontier models, avoiding "super-app" ambitions, and refusing to view other tech companies as enemies—DeepSeek avoids costly, distracting battles. Counterintuitively, giving away value lowers friction, fosters goodwill, and ultimately maximizes the long-term probability of achieving AGI. 

2. Radical Resource Efficiency Can Neutralize Massive Capital/Compute Disparities. The dominant narrative in Silicon Valley suggests that reaching AGI is purely a function of exponential capital expenditure and massive GPU clusters. DeepSeek’s operational reality challenges this "brute force" doctrine. Operating at roughly $1/20\text{th}$ the compute budget of top U.S. labs while remaining only 1 to 2 years behind proves that architectural efficiency, hyper-focused engineering, software optimization (such as writing custom compilers like TileLang to bypass legacy software ecosystems), and lean operations can bridge vast resource divides.

3. A Strict, Disciplined Focus on the "Main Line" to Intelligence. In a market prone to chasing transient hypes (e.g., video generation, 3D asset creation, consumer-facing wrappers), DeepSeek exercises strict intellectual discipline. Liang distinguishes between commercially lucrative distraction and the true pathway to AGI. By treating multimodality as a mere product component and identifying continual learning—rather than sheer scale or world models—as the single vital bottleneck preventing current agents from reaching self-iterating capability, the company concentrates its limited engineering cycles solely on what directly advances core intelligence. 

4. Non-Traditional, Vision-Driven Culture Over Corporate Bureaucracy. High-performing AI labs do not necessarily require rigid organizational hierarchies, aggressive KPIs, or intense burnout culture. DeepSeek’s structure relies on a shared, unwritten vision and radical employee trust: granting top researchers up to 50% unscheduled time, avoiding mandatory overtime, relying on consensus-driven leadership, and prioritizing long-term team stability above all else. This relaxed, interest-driven environment is framed as an operational necessity—because genuine scientific breakthroughs in frontier AI require cognitive breathing room rather than top-down pressure.

B. Narrative summary of Liang Wenfeng’s remarks during the four-hour investor Q&A session. These are divided into the following sections; (1) Vision, Organizational Philosophy, and Restraint; (2) Compute Realities, Domestic Chips, and Ecosystem Independence; (3) Commercial Strategy, Open-Source Commitment, and Market Outlook; (4) 

1. Vision, Organizational Philosophy, and Restraint. DeepSeek’s core identity is anchored in an unwritten, vision-driven philosophy rather than traditional corporate structures. The company operates without formal KPIs, strict management hierarchies, or performance reviews, prioritizing a mission to achieve General Artificial Intelligence (AGI) for the benefit of humanity over short-term financial returns or aggressive commercial expansion. Liang Wenfeng emphasizes a strategy of deep restraint. Instead of competing with established tech giants to build high-friction "super-apps" or trying to maximize user monetization, DeepSeek deliberately sacrifices immediate commercial land-grabs. This restraint is viewed as a calculated strategy: by remaining focused and avoiding adversarial dynamics across the industry, the company maximizes its long-term probability of actually achieving AGI.

Internally, maintaining team stability is treated as DeepSeek’s single most critical priority. The team views money and physical computing resources as obtainable commodities, but considers cohesive, motivated human talent to be non-negotiable. Recent equity financing provided significant stock options to long-tenured employees, largely mitigating key retention risks. Company decision-making relies heavily on consensus building rather than top-down executive directives. To foster research creativity, management explicitly encourages an unhurried, low-stress work environment. Employees are generally granted up to 50% unscheduled time to explore self-directed research projects without preset deliverables, and overtime is avoided to give researchers the mental bandwidth required for deep exploration.
The AGI Technical Roadmap and Research Focus

DeepSeek views the trajectory toward AGI not as a sudden leap, but as a deliberate, step-by-step technological ladder. The progression moves sequentially from foundational base language models to reasoning paradigms like Chain-of-Thought (CoT), advancing to autonomous Agents, mastering continual learning, reaching a self-iterating technological singularity, and ultimately culminating in embodied physical intelligence. Currently, the primary bottleneck in AI development is that today's agents lack the ability to continuously adapt and learn on the job over extended periods. Unlocking continual learning is viewed as the essential milestone that will allow models to autonomously improve, conduct research, and accelerate subsequent generations of AI development.

Because resources must be strictly prioritized, DeepSeek strictly adheres to this main line toward intelligence. The company deliberately avoids tangential domains like 3D asset creation or video generation, viewing them as lucrative commercial applications that do not fundamentally advance the ceiling of machine intelligence. Similarly, multimodal capabilities are treated as essential product components for end-users rather than core drivers of underlying reasoning ability. To optimize its internal development, DeepSeek prioritizes Coding Agents above all other vertical applications, as strong coding capability creates a compounding feedback loop that drastically accelerates the company's own internal research and model iteration.

2. Compute Realities, Domestic Chips, and Ecosystem Independence. Addressing the performance gap between domestic Chinese AI and leading American frontier labs, Liang notes that the divide is driven entirely by resource availability, not a shortage of talent. China and the U.S. draw from essentially the same pool of research talent, but American labs benefit from far greater capital deployment and GPU compute access. Historically, DeepSeek has operated roughly 1 to 2 years behind leading U.S. models while utilizing approximately 1/20th of the compute budget. Moving forward, the goal is to leverage higher computational efficiency to narrow that lag down to 3 to 6 months. Scaling laws remain fully valid, but compute limitations currently restrict how far domestic Chinese entities can scale model size and training data compared to Silicon Valley.

To overcome hardware constraints, DeepSeek has actively pursued ecosystem independence from Nvidia. During the training of DeepSeek V3, the team used Nvidia GPU hardware but entirely bypassed Nvidia’s proprietary CUDA software stack by developing TileLang, a custom high-level compiler that powers their training infrastructure. Looking at domestic hardware, Liang expressed strong optimism for Chinese chip substitution, noting that four Huawei chips currently match the performance of a single top-tier Nvidia GPU. While a 4x hardware gap and a two-year delay in chip manufacturing technology remain, the software ecosystem gap has effectively been closed. Hardware production capacity—rather than software compatibility or adapter ecosystem barriers—remains the sole operational bottleneck for domestic compute.

3. Commercial Strategy, Open-Source Commitment, and Market Outlook. DeepSeek approaches commercialization with a philosophy of cost-plus pricing rather than margin maximization. API pricing is calibrated to cover hardware operational costs and recover capital expenditures within approximately ten months, intentionally offering prices far below what inelastic market demand would allow. Enterprise (To B) revenue is expected to reach hundreds of millions of dollars, which, paired with a growing consumer user base, puts the company on a fast track toward net profitability. Even in a hypothetical worst-case scenario where technological progress plateaus, selling API access alone would be sufficient to sustain a profitable, publicly traded enterprise.

Furthermore, DeepSeek remains firmly committed to an open-source strategy, intending to release even its most powerful frontier models to the public. Liang argues that closed-sourcing provides no inherent competitive moat, as model deployment, cost optimization, and operational efficiency present formidable barriers to entry even when weights are fully shared. Crucially, the models DeepSeek deploys internally for its own API services are identical to the weights released to the open-source community. On the global competitive stage, Liang envisions an industry where no single player holds a monopoly or extracts windfall profits. Instead, intense competition will turn cost efficiency and execution speed into the primary market differentiators, with Chinese companies positioned to deliver global AI capabilities at significantly lower price points.

What makes the summary odd is its usefulness. It seeks to make sense of a set of flowing aphorisms that one can group and regroup as one likes to mold the aphorisms and oracular statements into something that maybe it is not--like the summary I offered above. It serves a purpose but exposes another--the desire and mechanics of seeking to impose meaning on something that means what it says and follows its own discursive rhythms which may or may not have meaning beyond the aphorism itself. Yet there it is, a necessary hallucination in aid of meaning that must be imposed.   大模型的幻觉问题比较影响用户的体验。幻觉问题也是有一个方法可以解决的,但是这是一个长命题。幻觉问题可以认为是一个可以通过更好的 Post-training 解决的,是一个能解、能够改善的问题。 [ The hallucination problem in large models significantly affects user experience. There is a way to address the hallucination problem, but it’s a long-term challenge. Hallucination can be seen as a problem that can be addressed and improved through better post-training. ] (Liang Wenfeng / DeepSeek Investor Q&A [梁文锋投资者交流会实录])

C. Liang Wenfeng's Gauge (摩)

Liang Wenfeng's transcript is not just information about strategy — it's itself an act of strategic communication, and the framework can be pointed at it two ways.

1. The document as an act of Mo directed outward. Notice the setup: a company that explicitly refused to speak — "never raise outside funding, never go public" — breaks four years of near-silence in a single four-hour session, immediately after closing a RMB 50 billion raise. That timing is not incidental. A silent company is illegible; markets, competitors, and the state all have to guess at DeepSeek's intentions. This session is a controlled probe in the other direction — Liang is the one being "gauged" by 118 targeted questions, and his answers are calibrated releases of information timed to a specific moment (post-raise, pre-scale-up) when reassurance to a very specific audience — his new investors — has maximum value. It reads like Quan already at work: he isn't giving a uniform message, he's weighting different reassurances for different anxieties in the room — team retention for people worried about talent flight, chip strategy for people worried about export controls, restraint-as-strategy for people worried he'll monetize recklessly and alienate the ecosystem he depends on for goodwill.

2. The document as raw material for our own Chuai–Mo–Quan. If you're the reader trying to actually assess DeepSeek rather than just absorb the narrative, Guiguzi suggests treating his stated positions less as facts and more as probe responses to be weighed. A few examples of where his own language, tested against itself, reveals more than any single line: He repeats "restraint" (克制) as almost a mantra — "Restraint is itself a strategy. Sometimes you can give something up in exchange for more of something else." Guiguzi's Chuai stage would ask: what is restraint actually buying him? He answers this almost directly later — restraint is explicitly framed as a probability-maximizing move toward AGI, not altruism for its own sake: "what I prioritize is how to increase the probability that we succeed." The "goodwill" framing and the cold optimization framing sit side by side without friction for him — that's worth noting rather than resolving.

On team stability he's unusually blunt that money is a solved problem and the only remaining risk is retention — "Our single greatest core interest is maintaining the stability of the team... As long as I can keep the team stable, I will definitely succeed." That's a rare moment where a Chuai-style estimate (what does this man actually fear?) gets a direct, unguarded answer instead of a rehearsed one — arguably a slip induced by the interview format itself, exactly the kind of unplanned resonance Mo tries to elicit.
On competitors he consistently downgrades rivals' advantages as temporary — Anthropic's lead over OpenAI, OpenAI's near-term dominance, even Nvidia's CUDA moat — all described as eroding or "just a phase." A Quan-style reading would flag this as a consistent rhetorical pattern (not a one-off claim) aimed at reassuring investors that no competitor's current position is fixed, which is precisely the reassurance an investor writing a check at a 367.5B RMB valuation, after two years of "we'll never raise," most needs to hear.

The broader point the Guiguzi framework surfaces: this transcript shouldn't be read as a transparent window into DeepSeek's strategy so much as a document produced by someone highly practiced in exactly the technique described in 摩 — reading a room and calibrating disclosure to it. The most interesting analytical move isn't taking the content at face value, but asking what stimulus (the funding round, the export-control pressure, the domestic-chip narrative) each answer is a response to, and what that implies about what he still hasn't said.

D. The Semiotics of Liang Wenfeng's Guiguzi Strategies.

Semiotics sharpens what's actually happening in each of these three moves, because the whole Guiguzi method rests on treating a person as a sign-system rather than a transparent container of intentions. The core semiotic assumption underneath all three chapters is that internal states (情, feeling/disposition) are not directly accessible — they only become knowable through externalized signs: words, tone, posture, timing, silence. This is already a semiotic move in the Peircean sense: the internal referent is never given directly, only inferred through indices (involuntary, causally-linked signs — a hesitation, a flush, a repeated word) and symbols (conventional, coded signs — the actual vocabulary chosen). Guiguzi's whole method is a discipline of reading indices through symbols, on the assumption that no one fully controls both channels at once.

Chuai (揣), semiotically, is code-construction before contact. Before you can interpret any sign a person gives off, you need an interpretive frame — a working model of what kind of person you're dealing with, what their signs are likely to mean. This is structurally close to what a Saussurean would call establishing the paradigmatic field, or what a hermeneuticist would call pre-understanding: you can't decode without a code, and Chuai is the stage where that code gets built, entirely from a distance, through observation and inference rather than direct exchange.

Mo (摩) is where the sign gets manufactured, not just observed. This is the crucial semiotic move that distinguishes it from mere reading. Natural signs are often absent, suppressed, or ambiguous — so the practitioner doesn't wait for a sign, they induce one: inject a stimulus, calibrated to the target's "kind" (摩之以其类, i.e., in a code the target will actually respond to), and treat the resulting reaction as data. It's closer to Peircean abduction than passive observation — form a hypothesis in Chuai, then perturb the system in Mo to force it to emit a legible sign that confirms or corrects the hypothesis. The requirement that the probe be pitched "to their kind" is itself a semiotic constraint: sender and receiver need a shared code, or the elicited sign comes back as noise.

Quan (權) is re-encoding for effect. Once you have a validated read of the other party, you stop decoding and start producing — selecting rhetorical categories (appeals to fear, ambition, loyalty, pride) the way you'd select weights on a scale, each keyed to trigger a specific decoding on the other end. In modern terms this is the encoding half of Stuart Hall's encode/decode model: Chuai and Mo are the decoding operations performed on the other person; Quan is the encoding operation performed for them, using exactly what decoding revealed about how they process signs.
From this the sequence--Guigizi's sub-system block chain can be read this way: build a code (Chuai) → test it by manufacturing signs (Mo) → produce new signs calibrated to that code (Quan) — a full semiotic loop, not just three stages of "getting to know someone." Applied back to the transcript, this adds another layer to the analysis: 

愿景 (vision) functions almost as a floating signifier across the document — repeated relentlessly, explicitly said to be unwritten: "This vision isn't even written down anywhere... it never has been." Semiotically that's notable: a symbol with no fixed signified is maximally efficient for consensus-building, because every listener — employee, investor, state regulator — can attach their own referent to it without contradiction. It's a sign selected in Quan precisely for its interpretive elasticity, not despite it.

Numeric precision as a sign of certainty. "Four Huawei chips equal one Nvidia chip" and "twelve to eighteen months, or six to twelve months" behave less like raw data than like rhetorical icons — precision itself is the signal, standing in for confidence and control, regardless of how the number was derived. Worth flagging as encoded output (Quan) rather than transparent index of fact.

The curatorial layer. The transcript states outright that it's "118 remarks, organized by theme, retaining only the substance of what he said" — meaning we're not even reading Mo's raw elicited signs firsthand; we're reading a second-order recoding, filtered by whoever assembled the document, on top of Liang's own first-order recoding of what four hours of Q&A produced. Any semiotic reading of this text has to hold that double-encoding in view — the "signal" we're decoding has already passed through two encoders before it reached us.

Here we move from Guiguzi as rhetoric, through semiotic dialectics within that rhetorical cage, to the computational expression of that dialectic that then mirrors the machine system that is the object of the exchange. In its essence one arrives, yet again, at inductive systems emerging from iterative mimetics that stars as flat sequential nodal movements in one direction and then acquires a layered polyphonic (in regulatory cognitive spaces polycentric) element that produces the end product sought by  seeking to sketch out with 118 oracular nodes the path toward its realization. 

E. Liang Wenfeng's Remarks in a Broader Context.

1. DeepSeek Within  an AI Peer Group Conversation. I have not considered Liang Wenfeng's remarks/aphorisms/oracular pronouncements in a vacuum. And, indeed, by the time they were made Liang Wenfeng had had several months (it is a closely knit community worldwide) to digest the oracular pronouncements and interventions of his peers in the United States, peers who also found it hard to keep their thoughts to themselves (see, Palantir, OpenAI, Anthropic, and Leo Aschenbrenner). I considered these in recent lectures at East China University of Politics and Law (Lecture 7— AI Narratives and the Future of AI-Human Regulatory Structures from a Human, Machine Computational, and Machine Quantum Perspective; Palantir; Anthrop/c; OpenAI--for the Lecture Series: AI Governance in Comparative Perspective, Theory and Practice: China, U.S. and E.U.Lecture Series Homepage HERE).

 My Lecture 7 shifted the AI governance discussion from state regulators to private-sector actors, treating public statements from Palantir, Anthropic, OpenAI, and independent essayist Leopold Aschenbrenner as competing "oracles" about who should hold authority over AI's future, rather than as technical policy papers. The lecture's governing premise is dialectical: AI systems are produced by the political orders that build them, but recursively reshape those same orders' institutions, cognitive habits, and norms. In that Lecture, as in the analysis of the underlying texts, I framed the four texts through the allegory of Sophocles/Cocteau's Oedipus Rex — Oedipus as confident problem-solver, Creon as administrative ruling class, Tiresias as a technical intelligentsia serving power rather than truth, and Jocasta as the dissenting voice who exposes the oracle's lie.

The four narratives are read as four different "governance objects" for the same technology: Palantir treats AI as an instrument for reconstructing the state from within — the state must be reorganized around AI-enabled visibility and coordination, with a Silicon Valley engineering elite as a legitimating vanguard (what I have called "techno-Leninism"). Anthropic externalizes AI into a civilizational, US-China contest over compute, export controls, and model "distillation," treating AI capability itself as contested territory rather than as an agent, with 2028 as the decisive horizon.  OpenAI proposes "transformative preservation" — deep societal change managed through public-private partnership so that legitimating institutions appear undisturbed even as their substance changes. Aschenbrenner (Situational Awareness) radicalizes all three by treating a national-security state as near-inevitable once recursive self-improvement produces an "intelligence explosion," leaving only the question of whether humans or autonomous systems ultimately direct it.

Reread computationally and quantum-computationally the same four texts suggest a convergent finding across all three passes: none of the four architectures disputes that human authority should be nominally preserved, but all four converge on structures in which human authority becomes an "interface property" — a legible, answerable-to layer — while operative agency migrates elsewhere (an administrative elite, contested infrastructure, a technical minority, or the system itself). The quantum pass adds that human governance's sequential, nodal, and irreversible temporal structure is structurally incommensurable with computational time, so governance corrections systematically lag a self-accelerating capability trajectory.

Where might Liang Wenfeng fit into that conversation of peers?  Liang Wenfeng's remarks sit outside of the four-narrative American taxonomy, but they engage several of the same structural questions — authority, timing, harm/risk, and legitimacy — from a markedly different institutional and geopolitical position.

On authority and governance structure. Where Palantir locates authority in a reformed state apparatus fused with an engineering vanguard, and Anthropic and OpenAI locate it in state or public-private coordination, Liang locates DeepSeek's internal authority in consensus rather than command: he states the company has no KPIs, is "vision-driven," and that his own influence "is built on the foundation of consensus". This is nearly the inverse of Palantir's proposition that judgment and hierarchical discrimination among values must be restored to a ruling elite; Liang instead describes a flat, half-unscheduled research culture explicitly organized to avoid administrative control. Notably, Liang's account never assigns China's state a governing role in DeepSeek's mission — the company's felt obligation is commercial survival ("the government won't give us a single cent") rather than state-directed purpose, a contrast with my account of Anthropic's document, which frames AI governance as inseparable from a state-versus-state contest for normative dominance.

On the US-China frame specifically. Anthropic's narrative casts China as a strategic adversary whose gains stem from talent, loophole exploitation, and "distillation" of American models, with 2028 as a resolving horizon after which either democratic or authoritarian norms will govern AI globally. Liang's remarks invert the vantage point of that same contest: he describes DeepSeek as roughly one to two years behind the US while using only about a twentieth of US compute, attributes the entire capability gap to compute and capital rather than talent, and forecasts that China's comparative advantage will be cost and production scale rather than a different kind of intelligence. Where Anthropic frames the contest as a fight over whose values set global norms, Liang frames it in market terms — China will make AI "the cheapest," with pricing that only earns "a reasonable return" rather than maximum extraction — a rhetorical register closer to industrial competition than the securitized "civilizational competition" vocabulary I have attributed to Anthropic.

On timing and the "singularity." Liang's AGI roadmap — chain-of-thought, then agents, then continual learning, then a self-iterating "singularity," then embodied intelligence — is structurally similar to Aschenbrenner's recursive self-improvement/"intelligence explosion" logic, in which AI automating AI research compresses years of progress into a shorter span. But Liang explicitly resists Aschenbrenner's explosive framing: he insists the "singularity" is "not really a singularity" but "a gradual process... not a sudden leap," even while conceding it is habitually described in dramatic terms. This directly contradicts Aschenbrenner's discrete compressed 2027–2028 event horizon, and, to a lesser degree, to Anthropic's. Within the discursive framework I developed for Lecture 7, then, Liang's timing model resembles the "continuous, ex ante" administrative correction I have attributed to Palantir and OpenAI rather than the discrete terminal-horizon models of Anthropic and Aschenbrenner.

On legitimacy and risk framing. The American narrative's legitimacy warrant circles around key conceptual organizing concepts: patriotic moral debt (Palantir), defense of democratic process (Anthropic), broad-based shared prosperity (OpenAI), and sheer survival (Aschenbrenner). Liang's legitimacy claim is closer to OpenAI's "shared prosperity" register but grounded in restraint rather than democratic participation: he repeatedly frames deliberately not maximizing DeepSeek's share of AI's payoff — through low API pricing, continued open-sourcing of even its strongest models, and explicit willingness to help competitors such as Alibaba, Zhipu, and Moonshot AI — as the strategy most likely to increase the probability of reaching AGI at all. This stands in sharp contrast to Anthropic's zero-sum "distillation" framing, in which a rival's extraction of capability from a leading model's outputs is described as adversarial capture; Liang treats the analogous risk — competitors freely deploying and even improving on DeepSeek's open-sourced weights — not merely as tolerable but as a documented policy goal irrespective of the classical computational reading's point that it entangles DeepSeek's fate with the actors who redeploy its models.

On the authority/agency decoupling. A key structural finding suggests that  all four American texts formally retain human authority while operative agency migrates to an administrative elite, contested infrastructure, or the system itself. Liang's account offers a partial counter-case worth flagging rather than a clean rebuttal: he explicitly ties DeepSeek's continued viability to "keeping the team stable" as its "only core interest," identifying a small set of senior researchers (whom he says make up roughly half the company, concentrated on data annotation) as the load-bearing agents of the enterprise. That is structurally similar to what my computational reading calls Palantir's "entangled subsystem" of an engineering vanguard whose own state cannot be specified independently of the system it supervises — except that Liang frames this concentration as a talent-retention and morale problem solved by financing-round equity, not as an emergent administrative authority displacing collective human judgment. Whether Liang's account of consensus-based, KPI-free governance would itself survive what might be called my "decoherence critique" (i.e., whether "vision-driven" consensus is a durable control property or, per the quantum reading, merely an "interface property" masking concentrated operative agency in DeepSeek's core research team) is a question Liang's remarks do not directly address — the document offers no equivalent second-order reflection on whether its own account of internal governance could itself be characterized as a legitimating narrative rather than a description of operative control.

Net Comparison. Within these American AI firms' governance narratives,  each firm's stated commitment to preserving human authority lies a structural tendency to relocate operative control elsewhere. Liang's remarks are a first-order narrative themselves — not a policy document self-consciously arguing for a governance architecture, but an internal account of DeepSeek's strategy, culture, and market position. Read through my own analytic lenses, the DeepSeek document would likely occupy a position distinct from all four of the American texts I consider: it neither embeds AI within state administrative reform (Palantir), nor casts AI capability as contested geopolitical territory to be defended (Anthropic), nor proposes a formal public-private error-correction architecture (OpenAI), nor forecasts an inevitable security-state capture (Aschenbrenner). Instead, Liang frames restraint, open-sourcing, and consensus governance as strategy for a private, commercially-exposed firm operating from a position of resource scarcity relative to the US — a register closer to entrepreneurial pragmatism than to any of the four oracular postures I catalogue, even though it shares with Aschenbrenner a recursive self-improvement roadmap and with Anthropic an explicit US-China compute framing.

2. DeepSeek's Political-Cognitive Platform: Operating Inside the Guided State. In my Lecture series (Lecture Series Homepage HERE) I describe the Chinese regulatory environment "The Guided State", and Lecture 7 itself, in glossing Anthropic's narrative, contrasts the American framework — "organized around markets and national security" — with "a Chinese framework organized around what the document terms 'Socialist Modernization' driven by state-directed, high-quality production," and situates the American liberal-democratic project as defending its "lebenswelt" against "the imaginaries of Marxist-Leninist successor states". This is the essential structural fact that has to frame any reading of Liang Wenfeng's remarks: DeepSeek does not operate within a system where market autonomy, decentralized private ordering, and firm-level self-direction are constitutionally protected defaults. It operates within a system whose foundational premise is Party leadership over the economy, in which market mechanisms are instrumentally tolerated and steered rather than treated as an autonomous sphere prior to or independent of collective political direction. Enterprises of DeepSeek's scale and strategic significance in China typically function under and alongside embedded Party organizational structures, and the Party-state has, in recent years, repeatedly demonstrated both the capacity and the willingness to discipline private technology firms perceived as accumulating disorderly, unaccountable economic or social power — the treatment of Jack Ma and Ant Group after 2020, the restructuring of Didi, and the broader "common prosperity" campaign against the "disorderly expansion of capital" are widely documented, publicly known instances of this dynamic. This is general background context rather than something drawn from the uploaded materials, but it is necessary to read Liang's remarks accurately, since his rhetoric is being spoken into precisely that environment.

Against that backdrop, several features of Liang's remarks read very differently than they would if spoken by a Silicon Valley founder. Liang repeatedly and emphatically disclaims the pursuit of dominance, scale-for-its-own-sake, and market power. He states that DeepSeek never intended to "become the next ByteDance, the next Tencent" and has no wish to compete with "any internet giant or small company". He describes the firm as having "no organization" in the ordinary sense, governed by "vision" rather than "KPIs," with no performance review at all. He states that "our single greatest core interest is maintaining the stability of the team" — "you could even say it's our only core interest". He frames open-sourcing the firm's strongest models, helping competitors including Alibaba, Zhipu, and Moonshot AI "do better," and pricing API access at "a reasonable profit" rather than a profit-maximizing rate, all as deliberate, principled choices rather than commercial necessities. And he generalizes this into an explicit political-economic claim: "whoever takes more will be beaten by whoever takes less" — that a vision oriented toward capturing more market share or profit is itself a competitive liability.

Read acontextually, this could be mistaken for standard Silicon Valley founder mythology. Read against the guided-state backdrop, it performs a much more specific and consequential kind of signification. Liang's language of "restraint" (克制) is explicitly theorized by him as strategic rather than merely temperamental: "restraint is itself a strategy. Sometimes you can give something up in exchange for more of something else". What DeepSeek gives up, on this account, is overt scale, dominance, and profit-maximization; what it purchases is something Liang never states outright but that the guided-state context makes legible — continued latitude to pursue an extraordinarily ambitious, resource-intensive, and politically sensitive project (building AGI) without triggering the pattern of Party scrutiny and disciplining that has met other Chinese technology firms perceived as amassing autonomous, unaccountable power. His insistence that DeepSeek is "vision-driven" rather than rule-driven, and that its authority rests on "consensus" rather than unilateral command, performs non-threat in a system whose default posture toward concentrated private authority is suspicion. His statement that the firm's vision "isn't even written down anywhere" and "lives in the way we do things" is, in a Western frame, a claim about organizational culture; in the guided-state frame, it is also, functionally, a claim about the absence of any documented alternative locus of authority that could be read as rivaling or displacing Party-sanctioned direction.

This is the sense in which the DeepSeek text should be read as a distinct fifth governance object in my Lecture 7 typology, produced by, and legible only against, a political order fundamentally different from the American "markets state" context that produced Palantir, Anthropic, OpenAI, and Aschenbrenner. Where the American texts are oracles addressed to a public and a state apparatus that must be persuaded to accept unusual concentrations of authority, Liang's remarks are an oracle addressed to a Party-state apparatus that must be persuaded that no unusual concentration of authority is occurring at all.

(text produced in collaboration with Claude and Harvey AI) 

Saturday, July 11, 2026

ICoCA Newsletter April-June 2026

 

 

Accountability, transparency, and engagement are critical elements of any principles based system.  Those overarching principles are no longer easily applied through one-size-fits-all measures. Those concerns are nicely encapsulated in the  April-June 2026 Newsletter of The International Code of Conduct Association – ICoCA--"Accountable Security in Transition." The theme is framed in this way for the Newsletter:

As global value chains and security environments evolve, expectations on private security providers are increasingly shaped by the need for responsible practice in complex settings. From critical minerals supply chains to post-conflict and transitioning contexts such as Ukraine, this includes strengthening how security is delivered and governed in practice. This edition of ICoCA’s newsletter explores how security practices are evolving in response to the just transition and growing expectations around accountability across diverse operational contexts.

ICoCA "is a multi-stakeholder initiative formed in 2013 to ensure that providers of private security services respect human rights and humanitarian law. It serves as the governance and oversight mechanism of the International Code of Conduct for Private Security Service Providers." (ICoCA--About). The ICoCa summarizes its mission this way: "Our mission is to raise private security industry standards and practices that respect human rights and international humanitarian law and to engage with key stakeholders to achieve widespread adherence to the International Code of Conduct globally. Discover the benefits for each stakeholder group below."

Featured interventions include: (1) Securing critical minerals supply chains starts with securing communities; (2) Beyond corporate damage control: reclaiming non-state governance mechanisms as pathways for true remedy; (3) From wartime necessity to post-war opportunity in Ukraine; (4) ICoCA's growing footprint in Nigeria; (5) Carbon accountability in private security; and (6) Community-based security and local trust.

A French version of this newsletter is available here.


 

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Friday, July 10, 2026

OMFIF Event: "It's All About the Role of Money": Live Broadcast 21 July 2026

 


 

 


The Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum (OMFIF) Economic and Monetary Policy Institute, is hosting an online event that may be of interest. It is called It’s all about the role of money. Information about the event may be accessed HERE. The event is described this way:
Money sits at the heart of central banking, but how can its core functions help shape the future direction of policy? Nathanaël Benjamin, executive director of financial stability strategy and risk at the Bank of England, joins OMFIF to present a unifying framework for understanding the role of central banks through the three core functions of money: as a unit of account, a medium of exchange and a store of value. Drawing clear links between the Bank of England’s activities and these functions, Benjamin will explore how this framework can inform thinking on the appropriate reach of central bank policies in an increasingly complex financial landscape. The session will also examine how viewing financial policy through this lens can help address the risks and frictions that impair money’s ability to perform its core functions. Benjamin will discuss the importance of building resilience where shocks could be amplified, removing barriers to growth and supporting responsible innovation where it strengthens the functioning of money.

REGISTRATION INFORMATION HERE.


 

Monday, June 29, 2026

OMFIF: Global Pubic Investor 2026 Report--"a world in which volatility is no longer a phase to get through, but a condition to be managed"

 


 

Happy to pass along information about the OMFIF's "Global Public Investor 2026" Report. They note: "For the 13th edition of the report in 2026, we address key questions including: how will the interest rate outlook shape fixed income portfolios? Will the dollar retain its dominant role in global reserves? Are central banks set to diversify further into other currencies and asset classes, including gold, equities, green bonds and digital assets? And how are technology and artificial intelligence beginning to influence reserve management operations?" (here). Their Press Release explains:

Investing amid shifting tides
Every year, OMFIF’s Global Public Investor captures a moment in the evolution of official investment, with some years defined by a single shock and others by a turning point in markets. This year’s report is different because it points to something more durable: a world in which volatility is no longer a phase to get through, but a condition to be managed.

The title of this year’s report, ‘Riding the wave’, reflects that shift. Public investors are not standing still, but neither are they making reckless moves. Instead, they are adjusting cautiously, testing new tools, diversifying where possible and holding on to the principles that have always defined official investment on safety, liquidity and long-term value. (emphasis supplied)

Some "sneak peaks":

 KEY FINDINGS
--For the first time since the GPI series began recording reserve managers’ long-term intentions in 2023, more central banks plan to decrease their dollar holdings than increase over the next 10 years.
--A net 30% plan to increase their gold allocation over the next one to two years, while 61% expect the price to settle between $5,000 and $6,000 per ounce by June 2027. Only 28% say the current price is discouraging further purchases.
--The motivation behind gold purchases is increasingly strategic rather than purely financial. Protection against geopolitical risk is cited by 51% of respondents, up 11% from 2024.
--29% of respondents indicated a desire to increase euro holdings in the long term, up from 22% last year.
--89% of developed economy central banks report some form of artificial intelligence implementation, compared with 44% of emerging market peers.
--For public funds, the US and China are the most attractive developed and emerging markets, driven by leadership in AI.

ACCESS REPORT HERE


 

Tuesday, June 23, 2026

Lecture 8—Putting It All Together: Trends, Trend Lines, and Regulatory Dialectics in Comparative AI Governance --for the Lecture Series: AI Governance in Comparative Perspective, Theory and Practice: China, U.S. and E.U.

 

Pix created with ChatGPT

I was delighted to have had the opportunity to present a series of Lectures hosted by the East China University of Political Science and Law (ECUPL) at the end of May 2026.

The overall theme (and thus the title) of the lectures was AI Governance in Comparative Perspective, Theory and Practice: China, U.S. and E.U, With a Sideways Glance at the U.N. The subject of the lectures requires little by way of introduction: Artificial intelligence is the broad term that has come to represent a growing cluster of non-human and digitalized processes and operations that has as its primary task the constitution of non-human systems capable of performing tasks that were once thought to require human intelligence. And so is the impulse to manage, control, exploit, embed, understand, and regulate these processes, systems, and perhaps eventually non-human consciousness with a huge potential to undertake many of the computational tasks (the mathematical and logical processing of data) that were once the sole domain of and perhaps defined what it meant to be human. That is the point where things get interesting. It is at the point where the development of machines, that is of non-human systems, capable of performing tasks that were once thought to require human intelligence, collide with regulatory structures meant to manage, contain, constrain, liberate, embed, project and exploit such non-human systems, whether they are traditional or emerging, public or private regulatory systems, that human collectives and the machine-systems they have created now find themselves.

The eight lectures progress sequentially from conceptual and theoretical frameworks (lectures 1 and 2, the objects and subjects of AI regulation), through a deeper consideration of regulatory systems in three distinguishable regulatory regimes--the US, EU, and China (Lectures 3, 4.5). The last two lectures consider judicial efforts to embed AI within traditional legal orders (Lecture 6), and the way in which the object of regulation (in the form of the owners of the larger AI enterprises) understand the relationship between AI, the state, and society (Lecture 7) . Lecture 8 summarizes and draws larger themes going forward.

In a previous post introducing Lecture 1 (From Algorithms to Foundation Models: What Contemporary AI is “Made of”) I suggested that perhaps a useful way of approaching the issue of AI regulation is to start by considering the nature and characteristics of the regulatory subject--what we euphemistically refer to as "AI." It then occurred to me that it might be useful as well to see if that regulatory object had views of their own respecting their nature character and, more importantly, the relationship of regulation projects to that (self) perception of their nature and character. So I approached Google's Gemini with a series of questions which I thought, in the process of what might pass for a conversation, might help humans begin to understand how at least one AI program thinks of itself. That conversation was incorporated into Lecture 1A. In Lecture 2 we moved from the object to the subjects of regurgitation. Like its regulatory objects, regulatory subjects  are functionally differentiated and can be disaggregated. In either case the connection between object and subject becomes complicated. Lectures 3-5 then considered the conceptual cages of the regulatory environment of the leading regulatory states--the U.S., the E.U and China. Each has started to develop an increasingly nuanced ecology of regulation, and expectation, that represent and apply the core premises of their respective political-economic orders. Lecture 6 then considered the way that this regulation is insinuated into the domestic legal orders of states from the bottom up the resolution of disputes tried to the courts. Lecture 7 rounded out the discussion by turning from State organs as the center of the regulatory project to the private sector, and more specifically to the advocacy and interventions of key actors in the tech sector.  Here we move from the great public to the critical private actors in the effort to develop a cage of regulation around the human and the machine in the context of automated  decision making through variations of what has come to be aggregated as AI. It also considered an analysis not merely from the perspective of humans but also from a machine computational and then a machine quantum perspective. 

This post includes a summary of the Lecture 8 Notes, as well as the link to the Lecture 8 PPT. Those interested may reach out to me to discuss availability of audio of the lecture and the full text of the Lecture 8 notes. The lecture looks back on prior lectures and draws generalized insights and conclusions. It then looks to the future: First it identifies the core governance challenges of a quantum AI world. The object of regulation is unstable. Opacity creates problems of explanation, interpretation, and accountability. Data governance becomes more difficult as personal data, copyrighted material, synthetic content, and cross-border flows are mixed into model systems. Liability becomes diffuse because many actors contribute to the same output. Private power intensifies because a small number of firms control infrastructure, cloud systems, and frontier models. As AI becomes embedded in workflows and institutions, governance can no longer focus only on outputs. It must address permissions, reversibility, auditability, institutional legitimacy, and distributed responsibility. The system becomes less like a tool and more like an environment.

Given the nature of the project I thought it might be useful to engage with an commercially available AI service for the production of a summary of the Lecture 1 materials. After some back and forth with Perplexity (Lecture 7 used Claude again; (Lecture 6 used Gemini again, Lecture 5 used Perplexity; Lecture 4 used Grok; Lecture 3 used Anthropic's Claude; Lecture 2 used Chat GPT; Lecture 1 and 1A used Google's Gemini), we came up with the following abstract of Lecture 8. 

 


ABSTRACT: This lecture series compares AI governance in the United States, European Union, China, and the United Nations. Its central argument is that these systems share a common vocabulary of safe, secure, trustworthy, and beneficial AI, but they differ sharply in how they define AI, allocate authority, and justify governance. AI is not treated as a single universal object. Instead, each system constructs AI differently: as an innovation market and strategic asset in the United States, as a risk-bearing legal object in the European Union, as strategic infrastructure in China, and as a global coordination problem at the United Nations.

The lecture emphasizes several shared themes. All systems now recognize that AI can create serious risks, including discrimination, misinformation, cyber abuse, surveillance, privacy violations, and concentration of power. All see transparency, accountability, standards, and data governance as important. All also recognize that general-purpose AI complicates regulation because the same model can be deployed in many different contexts. At the same time, the systems differ in institutional design. The United States relies on fragmented sectoral governance and often acts after harm occurs. The European Union uses a risk-based, ex ante, lifecycle approach grounded in rights and procedural supervision. China uses party-state coordination, administrative speed, and integration of AI policy with industrial and security goals. The United Nations seeks legitimacy through inclusive global dialogue, capacity-building, and scientific assessment.

The lecture then assesses strengths and weaknesses. The U.S. model is flexible and innovation-friendly but fragmented and dependent on private governance. The EU model offers legal clarity and rights protection but can be complex and slow. China’s model sees AI as infrastructure and can act quickly, but it is tied to political control and opacity. The UN model is inclusive and globally legitimate, but it lacks enforcement power and moves slowly.

A major concern is that AI governance is shifting from regulation of isolated models to regulation of infrastructure, systems, and institutions. Future AI will be agentic, multimodal, embodied, and deeply embedded in schools, hospitals, courts, workplaces, and public administration. This raises harder questions about liability, evaluation, data, open models, regulatory capacity, and cross-border arbitrage. The lecture concludes that AI governance is really governance of power moving through technology, and that no single system fully solves the problem.

To make the lecture more interesting, and because of the nature of the materials covered--in this case the interventions of the elite AI providers and thought drivers--I thought it would make sense to alter the cognitive cage of analysis. Rather than just approach the questions raised from a human (hermeneutic/semiotic) perspective, I also interacted with Perplexity to produce the same lecture notes from a machine quantum framework. Perplexity and I agreed on the following:

The future section describes a sequence of system transformations: from chatbots to agents, from single models to compound systems, from text to multimodal environments, from digital tools to embodied devices, from decision support to decision delegation, from outputs to AI-mediated institutions, from human-generated information environments to synthetic ones, from national systems to geopolitical blocs, from software to scientific infrastructure, and from scarce to ubiquitous AI. The machine-quantum implication is that governance must move from static classification to dynamic lifecycle control.

What emerges are deeply layered human-machine interactions that reflect the conceptual and perception boxes we are creating for ourselves, one in which the difference between assistance and authority collapses in an unstable environment in which humans and machine  are both producers and consumers of each other in their interaction. This applies not just in the human-machine cognitive ordering, but, long before that, in the preparation for the decay in that emerging relationship marked by the quite conscious effort to corrupt and then degrade the very same reflexive relationship among humans. Humans are no longer taught, and indeed are encouraged not to, distinguish between assistance and authority. Though that is an old human story (and one centering on the corruption of systems and modes of perception the genealogy of which is quite old); but one that could be corrected by inter-subjective relationships among peers. That is no longer possible where human-machine inter-subjectivity must also break cognitive barriers (belief-computation-quantum thinking). For that to become effective one must start with a translation function that is not yet operational, the lesson from the human machine discussion in Lecture 1A. 

The three versions of the Lecture notes follow. 

 

 

Links to Lectures:

Lecture 0 -- Introduction
Lecture 1—From Algorithms to Foundation Models: What Contemporary AI is “Made of”
Lecture 1A--A Computation/Conversation With Google's "Maschinenmensch" Gemini:
Lecture 2—What Are We Actually Governing When We Govern AI?
Lecture 3—The “Markets State”: U.S. Approach
Lecture 4—The “Rights State”: EU Approach
Lecture 5—The “Guided State”: The Chinese Approach
Lecture 6—Courts, Companies, and the Legal Construction of AI
Lecture 7—AI Narratives From a Human, Computational and Quantum Perspective: Palantir; Anthropic; Open AI; and Leopold Aschenbrenner
Lecture 8—Putting It All Together: Trends, Trend Lines, and Regulatory Dialectics in Comparative AI Governance

The entire lecture series, abstracts, posters and PPT may also be accessed from the website of the Coalition for Peace & Ethics Education Projects from the Lecture Series Homepage HERE

Tuesday, June 16, 2026

Lecture 4—The "Rights State"; The E.U. Approach --for the Lecture Series: AI Governance in Comparative Perspective, Theory and Practice: China, U.S. and E.U.

 

Pix Credit here



I was delighted to have had the opportunity to present a series of Lectures hosted by the East China University of Political Science and Law (ECUPL) at the end of May 2026.

The overall theme (and thus the title) of the lectures was AI Governance in Comparative Perspective, Theory and Practice: China, U.S. and E.U, With a Sideways Glance at the U.N. The subject of the lectures requires little by way of introduction: Artificial intelligence is the broad term that has come to represent a growing cluster of non-human and digitalized processes and operations that has as its primary task the constitution of non-human systems capable of performing tasks that were once thought to require human intelligence. And so is the impulse to manage, control, exploit, embed, understand, and regulate these processes, systems, and perhaps eventually non-human consciousness with a huge potential to undertake many of the computational tasks (the mathematical and logical processing of data) that were once the sole domain of and perhaps defined what it meant to be human. That is the point where things get interesting. It is at the point where the development of machines, that is of non-human systems, capable of performing tasks that were once thought to require human intelligence, collide with regulatory structures meant to manage, contain, constrain, liberate, embed, project and exploit such non-human systems, whether they are traditional or emerging, public or private regulatory systems, that human collectives and the machine-systems they have created now find themselves.

The eight lectures progress sequentially from conceptual and theoretical frameworks (lectures 1 and 2, the objects and subjects of AI regulation), through a deeper consideration of regulatory systems in three distinguishable regulatory regimes--the US, EU, and China (Lectures 3, 4.5). The last two lectures consider judicial efforts to embed AI within traditional legal orders (Lecture 6), and the way in which the object of regulation (in the form of the owners of the larger AI enterprises) understand the relationship between AI, the state, and society (Lecture 7) . Lecture 8 summarizes and draws larger themes going forward.

In a previous post introducing Lecture 1 (From Algorithms to Foundation Models: What Contemporary AI is “Made of”) I suggested that perhaps a useful way of approaching the issue of AI regulation is to start by considering the nature and characteristics of the regulatory subject--what we euphemistically refer to as "AI." It then occurred to me that it might be useful as well to see if that regulatory object had views of their own respecting their nature character and, more importantly, the relationship of regulation projects to that (self) perception of their nature and character. So I approached Google's Gemini with a series of questions which I thought, in the process of what might pass for a conversation, might help humans begin to understand how at least one AI program thinks of itself. That conversation was incorporated into Lecture 1A. In Lecture 2 we moved from the object to the subjects of regurgitation. Like its regulatory objects, regulatory subjects  are functionally differentiated and can be disaggregated. In either case the connection between object and subject becomes complicated. 

This post includes a summary of the Lecture 4 Notes, as well as the link to the Lecture 4 PPT. Those interested may reach out to me to discuss availability of audio of the lecture and the full text of the Lecture 4 notes

Given the nature of the project I thought it might be useful to engage with an commercially available AI service for the production of a summary of the Lecture 1 materials. After some back and forth with Grok (Lecture 3 used Anthropic's Claude; Lecture 2 used Chat GPT; Lecture 1 and 1A used Google's Gemini), we came up with the following abstract of Lecture 4. 

 

Pix Generated through Grok

 Abstract: The European Union’s Risk-Based Supervisory Governance of Artificial Intelligence

The European Union has constructed a comprehensive regulatory architecture for artificial intelligence centered on the Artificial Intelligence Act (AI Act), a risk-based instrument that classifies systems according to their potential effects on health, safety, fundamental rights, and the internal market. This framework integrates with the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) on data privacy and automated decision-making, the Digital Markets Act (DMA) addressing gatekeeper conduct, and the Digital Services Act (DSA) concerning platform accountability. The EU model embeds AI governance within a broader regulatory imagination in which markets are constituted through law, high-impact systems receive ongoing supervision, and technological development aligns with fundamental rights.

The lecture’s central thesis holds that the EU renders AI legally legible through ex ante classification, risk assessment, and lifecycle obligations rather than primarily ex post responses to harm. This supervisory governance model contrasts with the more fragmented, market-oriented U.S. approach, which often translates harms into existing legal categories after deployment via agencies, litigation, and standards. The EU architecture identifies prohibited practices, high-risk systems, transparency obligations, and general-purpose AI requirements, allocating responsibilities among providers, deployers, importers, and distributors.

The AI Act functions as a risk pyramid. Prohibited practices—certain manipulative techniques, social scoring, and biometric applications—embody non-negotiable limits grounded in EU values. High-risk systems, used in employment, education, critical infrastructure, law enforcement, and essential services, trigger extensive lifecycle obligations: risk management, data governance, technical documentation, logging, human oversight, accuracy, robustness, cybersecurity, post-market monitoring, and incident reporting. Lower tiers impose transparency duties for chatbots or synthetic content, while minimal-risk systems face few burdens. This scaling acknowledges differential stakes but raises classification challenges for multi-purpose or context-shifting systems.

The provider-deployer distinction seeks to close accountability gaps: providers handle design and documentation; deployers manage contextual use and oversight. For general-purpose AI and foundation models, upstream obligations address technical documentation, systemic-risk mitigation, and downstream information flows, recognizing their infrastructural role beyond single use cases. Complementary provisions emphasize AI literacy for personnel and staged implementation from February 2025 to August 2027.

The EU approach fuses product-safety logics (conformity assessment, market surveillance) with fundamental-rights supervision (non-discrimination, dignity, autonomy). Strengths include regulatory harmonization, the “Brussels effect” on global compliance, and explicit lifecycle accountability. Weaknesses encompass classification complexity, compliance burdens on smaller entities, potential formalism, enforcement variability, and the risk that managerial techniques displace deeper contestation over power and democracy. Rapid technical evolution further tests adaptability.

Comparatively, the EU and U.S. systems organize shared concerns—innovation, safety, rights—through divergent logics: supervisory risk governance versus monitored market governance. The EU AI Act represents an ambitious effort to make AI governable through legal classification and obligation. Its success depends on whether this architecture can sustain coherence amid rapid change while protecting rights and supporting innovation.

 

 

Links to Lectures:

Lecture 0 -- Introduction
Lecture 1—From Algorithms to Foundation Models: What Contemporary AI is “Made of”
Lecture 1A--A Computation/Conversation With Google's "Maschinenmensch" Gemini:
Lecture 2—What Are We Actually Governing When We Govern AI?
Lecture 3—The “Markets State”: U.S. Approach
Lecture 4—The “Rights State”: EU Approach
Lecture 5—The “Guided State”: The Chinese Approach
Lecture 6—Courts, Companies, and the Legal Construction of AI
Lecture 7—AI Narratives From a Human, Computational and Quantum Perspective: Palantir; Anthropic; Open AI; and Leopold Aschenbrenner
Lecture 8—Putting It All Together: Trends, Trend Lines, and Regulatory Dialectics in Comparative AI Governance 

The entire lecture series, abstracts, posters and PPT may also be accessed from the website of the Coalition for Peace & Ethics Education Projects from the Lecture Series Homepage HERE.


Thursday, May 21, 2026

Open AI: "Industrial Policy for the Intelligence Age: Ideas to Keep People First" (April 2026)

 


 

I have been looking at the way in which the various elements of the tech vanguard has sought to project their efforts to constitute both a common language and a common vision of a future dominated by the products, processes, and structures they develop, first to advance human collective development, and then perhaps to reshape it, that is to oversee the elaboration of systems at one point were instruments of human development and then may become the drivers of development in humans are the instruments and objects.  There is profit to be made either way, even if that profit is manifested in the privileges of a managerial or oversight vanguard (perhaps identified by their "ownership" of economic collectives that tend to tech based organisms and their components. 

Pix credit here
Palantir sought to engage in the discussion from the perspective of the organization of human collectives, leaving for later the relationship between that human collective and the collection of tech based organisms created and deployed or in conversation with those human collectives.  Reflections on the Palantir "Manifesto": The Oracular Semiosis of a "Technological Republic" Within its Own Cage of Techno-Modernization. Anthrop/c, on the other hand, it reduces technology to a tool the deployment of which is a critical instrument in competition among different and divergent normative political-economic models. Science Fiction Double Feature: Anthrop\c's "2028: Two scenarios for global AI leadership," in the Shadow of Palantir's "Manifesto". Both seek a common language, even if that language hides the fracture in the meanings and values represented by words or other communicative symbols, actions, devices, etc. A Common Language Containing Differentiating Meanings Within Evolving International Standards for Sustainability Disclosure in Financial Statements: IFRS Foundation 2025 Annual Report—Fit for the Future. These represent variations on a global conversation about development. That conversation, like our common language is separated by the differences in the cognitive cages  within which political-economic systems can be crafted from out of the ideology necessarily produced from within the ordering of reality possible within such cages. Reflections on 张冠梓: 从世界历史纵深把握中国式现代化的时代价值 [Zhang Guanzi, Grasping the Contemporary Value of Chinese Modernization from the Depth of World History ]--The Marxist Variation on Leninism and the Constitution/Realization of Modernization. Each in its own way worries about the construction of barriers that preserve a space for their own variation of modernization, while preventing subversion of that project by others with different realities and objects. 肃清反动分子的任何阴谋破坏活动 [Eliminate any act of conspiracy or sabotage by reactionary elements]: 中华人民共和国反外国不当域外管辖条例 [Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Countering Improper Extraterritorial Jurisdiction by Foreign States].

Now comes Open AI into the American conversation. In its April 2026 discursive object "Industrial Policy for the Intelligence Age: Ideas to Keep People First" (April 2026), Open AI seeks to signify technology, enterprise role in technology, the state, and the masses within the cognitive construct that is the political economic model of the U.S. Republic. Its fundamental ordering premise is an objectives based progress but one significantly different from that of Marxist-Leninist progress:

The drive to understand has always powered human progress—creating a flywheel from science to technology, from technology to discovery, and from discovery onward to more science. That inexorable forward movement led us to melt sand, add impurities, structure it with atomic precision into computer chips, run energy through those chips, and build systems capable of creating increasingly powerful artificial intelligence. ("Industrial Policy for the Intelligence Age: Ideas to Keep People First" p.2)

This drive now presents the possibility of disorienting change (and by disorienting one can mean a change in the orientation of society and its self-conceptions, as well as the mechanics and politics of its operations). "This shift will reshape how organizations run, how knowledge is created, and how people find meaning and opportunity. It will also highlight the limitations of today’s policy toolkit and the need for more ambitious ideas to keep people at the center of the transition to superintelligence." (Ibid.).

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As Lenin never tired of asking, then, "What is to Be Done?." Lenin of course suggested  the constitution of professional revolutionaries which eventually became as the victorious elements of a vanguard of social forces, the driving force in the management of social modernization toward the constitution of a communist society. What does Open AI want? It wants a transformed society in which the society remains insulated from the consequences of transformation. It wants from artificial intelligence the continuity of an artificial society that can preserve the outward appearance of, not continuity, but sameness within a social system marked specifically by foundationally transformative change.

While we strongly believe that AI’s benefits will far outweigh its challenges, we are clear-eyed about the risks—of jobs and entire industries being disrupted; bad actors misusing the technology; misaligned systems evading human control; governments or institutions deploying AI in ways that undermine democratic values; and power and wealth becoming more concentrated instead of more widely shared. Indeed, we highlight these risks here to raise awareness of the need for policy solutions to address them. Unless policy keeps pace with technological change, the institutions and safety nets needed to navigate this transition could fall behind. Ensuring that AI expands access, agency, and opportunity is a central challenge as we move towards superintelligence. We should aim for a future where
superintelligence benefits everyone,

That is indeed a tall order.  It is one in which Baudrillard's notion of simulacra is inverted in a sense, where the object of artificial intelligence is not to create simulacra but to transform humanity into a living simulation of itself. 

To those ends Open AI offers a program, or better put a path--not the Socialist Path of Marxist Leninism that carriers its travelers toward a communist society, but an AI Path that leads to a hyper static social order made more palatable through the miracle of technology. That is not a bad thing, it is just that such a vision can be understood only be reference to the dialectics and the transformations that the path grounded in non-transformative transformation must lead--both for human and virtual collectives. 

What are the markers of this path?: (1) Share prosperity broadly; (2) mitigate risk; and (3) democratize access and agency. ("Industrial Policy for the Intelligence Age: Ideas to Keep People First" p.3). That provides the basis for a "New Industrial Policy.":

Society has navigated major technological transitions before, but not without real disruption and dislocation along the way. While those transitions ultimately created more prosperity, they required proactive political choices to ensure that growth translated into broader opportunity and greater security. * * * History shows that democratic societies can respond to technological upheaval with ambition: reimagining the social contract, mediating between capital and labor, and encouraging broad distribution of the benefits of technological progress while preserving pluralism, constitutional checks and balances, and freedom to innovate. The transition to superintelligence will require an even more ambitious form of industrial policy, one that reflects the ability of democratic societies to act collectively, at scale, to shape their economic future so that superintelligence benefits everyone. On this path to superintelligence, there are clear steps we need to take today. People are already concerned about what AI will mean for their lives—whether their jobs and families will be safe, and whether data centers will disrupt their communities and raise energy prices.(Ibid., pp. 3-4).

To those ends a vanguard is needed--not markets ("In normal times, the case for letting markets work on their own is strong. * * * But industrial policy can play an important role when market forces alone aren’t sufficient—when new technologies create opportunities and risks that existing institutions aren’t equipped to manage. It can help translate scientific breakthroughs into scaled industries and broad-based economic growth." Ibid., p. 4). The "State" then is necessary (ibid., pp. 4-5), one well informed by a vanguard of techno-leading forces committed to the (re)constitution of the ideal of the American golden age. (See my discussion "Liberal Democratic Leninism in the Era of Artificial Intelligence and Tech Driven Social Progress: Remarks by Director Kratsios at the Endless Frontiers Retreat and "The Golden Age of American Innovation"). This may also require a great democratic patriotic campaign. See "The golden age of America begins right now": Text of Mr. Trump's 2nd Inaugural Address 20 January 2025 and Brief Reflections." But this new State leadership is to be crafted as a united front of institutionalized collective consultative democracy.

A new industrial policy agenda should use government's existing toolbox for aligning public and private activities: research funding, workforce development, market-shaping tools, and targeted regulation. But governments should not act alone. Nongovernmental institutions should pilot new approaches, measure what works, and iterate quickly, then governments should reinforce successes by aligning incentives and scaling what works through procurement, regulation, and investment. This public-private collaboration should stave off regulatory capture and centralized control, instead preserving the freedom to innovate while ensuring that the onset of superintelligence isn’t dominated by the most powerful forces in society. "(Industrial Policy for the Intelligence Age: Ideas to Keep People First" p.4).

And beneath this exterior analytics is fear--a fear of a world in which the necessary balance between consumers and producers is upended and producers, having shorn themselves of income absorbing consumers will have no one to consume the products that are now created by non-human life forms (Silicon Valley Is Bracing for a Permanent UnderclassBehind the Curtain: A white-collar bloodbath).  And then the fantasy becomes real (AI firms should face 'minimum wage for robots' to limit job cuts, says tech boss).

This is the American analogue to the Chinese  modernization of Leninist democracy, but one with American characteristics meant to elaborate American values.  (On the Chinese variation see Larry Catá Backer, A Democratic Consultative Constitutionalism for Marxist-Leninist (Socialist) Political Systems—The Theory and Structure of “Whole(Socialist) Political Systems—The Theory and Structure of “Whole
Process People’s Democracy” (全过程人民民主)
). The structure of this preservative transfornmaiton includes several parts: (1) building an open economy (Industrial Policy for the Intelligence Age: Ideas to Keep People First" pp.4-8); (2) building a resilient society (ibid., 9-12). Each is elaborated  with policy suggesitons that mean to keep the structures of the social order and its cognitive cages even as it transforms some or all of its "insides." A nice conservative approach.

But I leave the assessment of these plans to the reader. The  Industrial Policy for the Intelligence Age: Ideas to Keep People First" may be accessed online HERE. It also follows below.