There continues to be a lot of discussion about the ramifications of the 11 of July popular protests in Cuba and their aftermath. Much of it, of course, is more about the feelings and perspectives of those who write. That is a pity because in the process--a process that has its origins in the infatuation of the pre 1959 revolutionary movement and its charismatic leaders as a sort of metaphor for the cultural revolutions about to begin among the Western intelligentsia and which continues to the present time--the reality of Cuba and its need for dispassionate analysis is lost in its use as a sort of political-intellectual fetish.
It is thus refreshing to come across the analysis of Domingo Amuchastegui who for many years served the post revolutionary Cuban state. His essay, "El Eslabon perdido de la Crisis en Cuba" [The Missing Link of the Crisis in Cuba], nicely captures an insider's perspectives of the challenges and capabilities limitations of the Cuban establishment, as well as its opponents, to move beyond the societal explosions of 11 July 2021, to plausible movement within the current historical context of Cuba. That forward movement, for Amuchastegui, requires the creation of a uniquely Cuban expression of what for Chinese Leninism would be understood as mass line politics--of the creation of robust spaces within which societal segments could engage collectively with the issues facing the nation. For that to happen, Amuchastegui suggests, the Cuban vanguard will have to change substantially.

Amuchastegui, however, highlights something far more basic and far more important: the central contradictions of systems organized around collectives. That central contradiction is this: Collective organizations embed systems of collective tyranny; it is in the nature of collectives that its integrity is grounded in the need to discipline its members; but that discipline itself undermines the democratic character on which the legitimacy of the collective is organized. For Leninist states that contradiction is focused on a tyranny of a minority--the leading social forces organized as a superior political force. For liberal democratic systems it is the tyranny of the majority--the incarnation of popular will expressed periodically (through elections) which invariably discriminate against "discrete and insular minorities" (
Carolene Products, n. 4). Both systems seek to confront their central contradictions but necessarily in very different ways. Contemporary Leninist systems respond through the structural devices of engagement--implementing principles of "mass line ("from the people to the people"), democratic centralism, and now structures of consultative democracy. Liberal democratic systems work from the other direction, developing increasingly elaborate structures of managerialism to tame and harness the principle of mass democracy now within systemic cages of regulation and oversight by courts, legislatures, and accountability systems that analyze behaviors against a democratic ideal. Each is imperfect, and each struggles against am moving target--time passes, people die and others grow to take their place, social conditions change, as do tastes and the way interpretive communities see the world around them. What separates Leninism from liberal democracy, in this context, what differentiates minority and majority tyranny, is expressed in the differences between the emphasis on consultation (contemporary Leninism) and accountability (contemporary liberal democracy). It is the inability to confront these central contradictions successfully in each historical era that proves fatal to these systems, or that produces profound transformation.
Cuba sits uncomfortably between the two--a Leninist system committed to the principles of guided majoritarianism. The central contradiction is both compounded and made doubly difficult to overcome--at least conceptually and in ways that preserve the system's legitimacy. Moving back and forth between one pole and the other, if only within tightly and narrowly conceived boundaries has proven successful at putting off the moment when contradiction can no longer be avoided. That moment appears to be arriving. But Cuba's leadership collective, like that of the United States, are all prisoners of the logic of the institutions whose trajectories now augment the profundity of contradiction. The question for both is whether they might confront contradiction in ways that preserve the fundamental forms of their political organization. That remains to be seen.

The essay in the original Spanish is republished here with permission, along with my translation, along with my brief comment (in English and Spanish).
Domingo Amuchastegui has had a long and distinguished career. He has
served as Cuba's Chargé d'Affaires in Guatemala, was Department Head of
Socialist Countries at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Department Head
of the Organization Department at the Tricontinental Organization
(1960s-70s), Chief Analyst in the Intelligence Directorate and
"Liberación", and a Professor of Contemporary History and Regional
Conflicts at the Universidad Pedagógica and the Instituto Superior de
Relaciones Internacionales (Cuba). He is the author of
Historia Contemporánea de Asia y Africa (4 volumes),
Palestina: Dimensiones de un Conflicto,
Angola in the XX Century (1988)and the co-author of
Intelligence and the Cuban Missile Crisis.
In addition he has written hundred of articles and essays for Cuba
News, Cuba Standard, and various Cuban publications. He participated in
fact-finding missions throughout Africa, Asia and Chile, served as Chief
analyst during Fidel Castro's visit to Chile and adviser to the Angolan
Government (1986-1988). He has resided in the United States since 1994.