Saturday, July 30, 2022

玩火必自焚 (When you play with fire you will get burned)--The Ritual Performance of US-China Core of Leadership Chats

 


President Joe Biden and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping held a lengthy and candid discussion about Taiwan on Thursday as tensions mount between Washington and Beijing, despite Biden's onetime hope of stabilizing the world's most important country-to-country relationship. The two leaders did agree to begin arrangements for a face-to-face summit, their first as Xi resists travel amid the Covid-19 pandemic. And certain areas of cooperation, including climate change, were hashed out. But the Taiwan issue proved among the most contentious. The issue has emerged as a serious point of conflict, as US officials fear a more imminent Chinese move on the self-governing island and as a potential visit by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi prompts warnings from Beijing and a concerted effort by the Biden administration to prevent tensions from spiraling out of control. The matter was discussed at length in the two-hour-and-17-minute phone call Thursday. Xi offered an ominous warning to Biden, according to China's version of events. (Biden speaks with China's Xi as tension grows over Taiwan)

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This is the way that CNN, a US press organ, reported the quite public encounter between the core of leadership of China and of the US (each incarnating their respective national systems in very different ways).  "This was the fifth time the two presidents have spoken since President Biden came into office. . . The National Security Advisor proposed that the two leaders speak in the near future when he met with Director Yang Jiechi in Luxembourg in mid-June. The PRC side followed up on that when Foreign Minister Wong met with Secretary Blinken in Bali, with Foreign Minister Wong proposing a date for the call." (here). The ritual was necessary if only because human collectives needs the reassurance of the performance of leadership especially when they have been managed into a fear of instability or danger--usually by the apparatus that these core leaders guide. These performances, in a way, remind one of the closed loop cycle of pharma--one builds on the efforts top cure ill health which prior efforts to cure other forms of ill health helped cause; one pill to cure ailments produced by a pill designed to cure a different ailment.  The pills are always needed. 

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In this case, those pills produce two different but related effects.  That is necessary because while the core of leaderships in this ritual performance appear to be speaking to each other, they are in fact speaking to virtually everyone else on the planet other than the person to whom they appear to be addressing.  Both cores of leadership are speaking to their internal supporters and enemies; they are projecting speaking onto the apparatus used to mold and manage collective opinions; they feed the propaganda organs of their respective systems; and they seek to reassure friendly states and other other (while threatening enemies). In this case the central issue is the shape of the Taiwanese front in the current Russo-Ukrainian war. The current triggering event is the threatened visit of Mrs. Pelosi--a high ranking legislative official.  At the same time, it is necessary to continue to refine and contain the theatres of conflict which may be connected to the Russo-Ukraine war but which may also detract from other areas where mutual competition, cooperation, or other objectives must be pursued. 

One gets a better sense of these multi-communication pathways, and perhaps even a sense of what is being actually discussed, by a careful reading of the summaries of the discussion produced by leading organs of each side: (1)  习近平同美国总统拜登通电话 [Xi Jinping Speaks on the Phone with U.S. President Biden] (original Chinese and crude English translation); and (2)  White House Briefing Room: Background Press Call on President Biden’s Call with President Xi Jinping of the People’s Republic of China.

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These follow below.  On the Chinese side there was a focus on the effects of the process of de-coupling, and of the economic Great Wall built around China, a policy shift that became visible under the Trump Administration, along with its rhetoric and legislative implementation through incentives to reroute supply chains and to isolate inbound Chinese foreign investment.  Buried within that  are the still important project of Chinese internationalism and narrative control, as well as dual circulation strategies that suggest a Chinese version of engaged decoupling--a manage Great Wall. And there was Taiwan: 玩火必自焚 (When you play with fire you will get burned) (here; see also here for Chinese English language analysis). On the US side, the emphasis was on what they described as the three aims of the encounter: "First was a detailed discussion of areas where the two countries can work together, with particular focus on climate change and health security, as well as counternarcotics. . . Second, the two leaders exchanged views on Russia’s war in Ukraine and the global impacts it is having. Third, they had an in-depth discussion of Taiwan" (here). These suggest the way that the American Administration dances on a sword's edge--on the one hand to use these performances for maximum effect on the upcoming critical domestic elections. On the other to refine and apply the American strategic vision largely visible in its current forms since 2016--another well managed great wall. The key spaces that divide are at the periphery of empire--Russia, Ukraine, Taiwan, and on the rationalization of the rational partition of the world between their respective visions--the issue of the terms of a modern day Treaty of Torresillas.

The differences suggest the spaces within which the most potent interactions occur. . . . or ought to.  And yet there appears to be a commonality both share--each is playing with fire. The rest is management. 


 习近平同美国总统拜登通电话
2022-07-29 00:00:04 来源: 新华网


  新华社北京7月28日电 国家主席习近平7月28日晚应约同美国总统拜登通电话。两国元首就中美关系以及双方关心的问题进行了坦率沟通和交流。

  习近平指出,当前,世界动荡和变革两种趋势持续演进,发展和安全两大赤字不断凸显。面对变乱交织的世界,国际社会和各国人民都期待中美两国发挥引领作用,维护世界和平安全,促进全球发展繁荣。这是中美两个大国职责所在。

  习近平强调,从战略竞争的视角看待和定义中美关系,把中国视为最主要对手和最严峻的长期挑战,是对中美关系的误判和中国发展的误读,会对两国人民和国际社会产生误导。双方要保持各层级沟通,用好现有沟通渠道,推动双方合作。当前全球经济形势充满挑战。中美应该就宏观经济政策协调、维护全球产业链供应链稳定、保障全球能源和粮食安全等重大问题保持沟通。违背规律搞脱钩断链,无助于提振美国经济,也将使世界经济变得更加脆弱。双方要推动地区热点问题撤火降温,助力世界尽快摆脱新冠疫情,走出经济滞胀困局和衰退风险,维护以联合国为核心的国际体系和以国际法为基础的国际秩序。

  习近平重点阐述了中方在台湾问题上的原则立场。习近平强调,台湾问题的历史经纬明明白白,两岸同属一个中国的事实和现状清清楚楚。中美三个联合公报是双方的政治承诺,一个中国原则是中美关系的政治基础。我们坚决反对“台独”分裂和外部势力干涉,绝不为任何形式的“台独”势力留下任何空间。中国政府和中国人民在台湾问题上的立场是一以贯之的,坚决维护中国国家主权和领土完整是14亿多中国人民的坚定意志。民意不可违,玩火必自焚。希望美方看清楚这一点。美方应该言行一致恪守一个中国原则,履行中美三个联合公报。

  拜登表示,当今世界正处于一个关键时期。美中合作不仅有利于两国人民,也有利于各国人民。美方希望同中方保持畅通对话,增进相互了解,避免误解误判,寻求在利益交融的领域开展合作,同时妥善管控分歧。我愿重申,美国的一个中国政策没有改变也不会改变,美方不支持台湾“独立”。

  两国元首还就乌克兰危机等交换了意见,习近平重申了中方原则立场。

  两国元首认为,这次通话坦诚深入,同意保持联系,责成双方工作团队为此继续沟通合作。

Xi Jinping Speaks on the Phone with U.S. President Biden
2022-07-29 00:00:04 Source: Xinhuanet


Xinhua News Agency, Beijing, July 28. President Xi Jinping had a phone call with US President Joe Biden on the evening of July 28. The two heads of state had candid communication and exchanges on China-US relations and issues of mutual concern.

Xi Jinping pointed out that at present, the two trends of world turmoil and change continue to evolve, and the two deficits of development and security are constantly highlighted. In the face of a turbulent world, the international community and people of all countries expect China and the United States to play a leading role in maintaining world peace and security and promoting global development and prosperity. This is the responsibility of the two major powers, China and the United States.

Xi Jinping emphasized that to view and define Sino-US relations from the perspective of strategic competition, and to regard China as the most important opponent and the most severe long-term challenge, is a misjudgment of Sino-US relations and a misinterpretation of China's development, which will harm the people of the two countries and the peace. The international community is misled. The two sides should maintain communication at all levels, make good use of existing communication channels, and promote bilateral cooperation. The current global economic situation is full of challenges. China and the US should maintain communication on major issues such as macroeconomic policy coordination, maintaining the stability of global industrial and supply chains, and safeguarding global energy and food security. Decoupling and breaking links against the law will not help boost the US economy, but will also make the world economy more vulnerable. The two sides should promote the withdrawal and cooling of regional hotspot issues, help the world get rid of the new crown epidemic as soon as possible, get out of the dilemma of economic stagflation and recession risks, and maintain the international system with the United Nations at the core and the international order based on international law.

Xi Jinping focused on expounding China's principled position on the Taiwan issue. Xi Jinping emphasized that the history of the Taiwan issue is clear, and the fact and current situation that both sides of the Taiwan Strait belong to one China are clear. The three Sino-US joint communiques are political commitments of both sides, and the one-China principle is the political foundation of Sino-US relations. We firmly oppose "Taiwan independence" separatism and interference by external forces, and will never leave any space for "Taiwan independence" forces in any form. The position of the Chinese government and Chinese people on the Taiwan issue has been consistent, and it is the firm will of more than 1.4 billion Chinese people to resolutely safeguard China's national sovereignty and territorial integrity. Public opinion cannot be violated. When you play with fire you will get burned. I hope the US side can see this clearly. The U.S. side should abide by the one-China principle and implement the three Sino-U.S. joint communiques.

Biden said that today's world is in a critical period. U.S.-China cooperation is not only beneficial to the people of the two countries, but also to the people of other countries. The US hopes to maintain smooth dialogue with China, enhance mutual understanding, avoid misunderstandings and misjudgments, seek cooperation in areas where interests converge, and properly manage differences. I would like to reiterate that the one-China policy of the United States has not changed and will not change, and the United States does not support Taiwan's "independence".

The two heads of state also exchanged views on the Ukraine crisis, and Xi Jinping reiterated China's principled position.

The two heads of state believed that the call was candid and in-depth, agreed to keep in touch, and instructed the working teams of the two sides to continue communication and cooperation for this purpose.

 

__________

 

Via Teleconference

3:27 P.M. EDT

SENIOR ADMINISTRATION OFFICIAL:  Thank you.  And thanks, everyone, for joining us today. 

So, as a reminder, this call is on background, attributable to a “senior administration official,” and the contents of the call are embargoed until the end of the call. 

For your awareness and not for reporting, our speaker today is [senior administration official].  [Senior administration official] will have some remarks at the top, and then we’ll kind of take as many questions as we can.  So, over to you.

SENIOR ADMINISTRATION OFFICIAL:  Thanks, [senior administration official].  And hey, everybody.  Good to be with you today.

So as you all are aware, President Biden spoke with President Xi Jinping of the People’s Republic of China this morning.  This was the fifth time the two presidents have spoken since President Biden came into office.  And the two concluded their conversation over the course of about 2 hours and 20 minutes.

And since I know some folks are asking: The President, as you may have seen from the photo, was in the Oval Office for the call.  And in the room were the National Security Advisor, Jake Sullivan; Secretary of State Blinken; Principal Deputy National Security Advisor Jon Finer; Indo-Pacific Coordinator Kurt Campbell; and Senior Director Laura Rosenberger.

The call this morning follows the two leaders’ virtual conversation back in March and builds on a series of recent engagements between the National Security Advisor, Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense, Chairman Milley, and Secretary Yellen, and their PRC counterparts.

President Biden has continually emphasized the importance of maintaining open lines of communication to ensure that the United States and China manage our differences and work together on areas of shared interest.  This call was part of our ongoing efforts to do that.

They also discussed the value of meeting face-to-face and agreed to have their teams follow up to find a mutually agreeable time to do so.

Overall, I would say that the conversation was substantive, it was in-depth, and it was candid.  And the conversation basically took three parts.  I should note that I’m assuming all of you have seen the readout that we put out, so I’m not going to repeat that in detail.  But essentially to walk you through the conversation, three main parts:

First was a detailed discussion of areas where the two countries can work together, with particular focus on climate change and health security, as well as counternarcotics.  The two teams will be following up on these areas.  President Biden also raised the need to resolve the cases of American citizens who are wrongfully detained or subject to exit bans in China, as well as longstanding concerns about human rights.

Second, the two leaders exchanged views on Russia’s war in Ukraine and the global impacts it is having.

Third, they had an in-depth discussion of Taiwan.  They discussed, you know, as they always do, areas of difference.  And the two, I would say, on Taiwan had a — had a direct and honest discussion.  President Biden reaffirmed the United States’ commitment to our One China Policy, guided by the Taiwan Relations Act, the Three Joint Communiqués, and the Six Assurances.

He underscored to President Xi the United States’ opposition to unilateral changes to the status quo by either side, and commitment to the maintenance of peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait.

The two discussed that the United States and China have differences when it comes to Taiwan, but that they have managed those for over 40 years and that keeping an open line of communication on this issue is essential to doing so.

Finally, just a bit on how the call came about: This call, I think as many of you know, has been in the works for quite some time.  I know the President has said many times in recent weeks that he was planning to speak to Xi soon.

A bit more detail on that: The National Security Advisor proposed that the two leaders speak in the near future when he met with Director Yang Jiechi in Luxembourg in mid-June.  The PRC side followed up on that when Foreign Minister Wong met with Secretary Blinken in Bali, with Foreign Minister Wong proposing a date for the call.

With that, I think I’ll leave it there and look forward to your questions.  Thanks so much.

MODERATOR:  Great.  Could we queue up the questions — sorry, queue up the directions to ask a question, please?

Q    My first question was about Taiwan.  According to China’s state news agency, President Xi told President Biden that “Public opinion shall not be violated.  And if you play with fire, you get burned.  Hope the U.S. side can see this clearly.” 

Could you just give us the U.S.’s version of this portion of the call?  Was it clear that this was specifically about Taiwan?  Was it perceived by the U.S. as a direct threat?  And what is the potential retaliation from Beijing that the U.S. is most worried about at this point?

SENIOR ADMINISTRATION OFFICIAL:  Well, thanks so much for the question.  So first of all, I’ll just say at the top: On this question and others, I’m not going to get into characterizing the PRC’s position on things.  I will leave that to them. 

I will note that President Xi used similar language in the conversation that the two leaders had back in November.  But, you know, I’m not going to get into parsing the various metaphors that the PRC regularly tends to use on these issues. 

You know, as I said, the conversation between the two about Taiwan: It was direct and it was honest.  And the two leaders, you know, basically discussed the fact that the United States and China have differences when it comes to Taiwan but that they have managed those for over 40 years, and that keeping an open line of communication on this issue is essential to continuing to do so.  And for us, you know, direct communication between the leaders is the most essential aspect of that. 

I think I’ll leave it there.

Q    Hey, [senior administration official], thanks for doing this.  I know you’re probably going to give me the talking point that you’re not going to get ahead of any schedule for the House Speaker, but it’s pretty clear that this is part of the Taiwan discussion that likely came up.  And I’m curious what the President told Xi Jinping here on this, and whether you’re planning to brief Pelosi on this portion of the call — if the President is going to speak to her directly on this.

And then also on one other area that you need China’s help on, with respect to energy and how receptive China was on the price cap proposal: Is China willing at all to use its spare refining capacity to bring down the price?  Thanks.

SENIOR ADMINISTRATION OFFICIAL:  Thanks so much, Jenny, for the question.  And you well anticipated what I was going to give you, which is, you know, as I noted that the top, the two leaders had an in-depth discussion of Taiwan.  And as I noted, the President reaffirmed, you know, our policy.  But I’m not going to get into the details beyond that on the question of the Speaker’s potential travel. 

I’d note that, you know, no trip has been announced.  And as we’ve said previously, it’s her decision. 

On the question of price caps: This is not something that was discussed in any detail in the conversation.

Q    Okay.  I’m just — yeah, not sure if you can hear me.

SENIOR ADMINISTRATION OFFICIAL:  We got you. 

Q    Okay, great.  So, I mean, looking more broadly at what seems to be discussed on the call, does the administration feel it can move forward on other issues like climate change and health security while tensions are so high over Taiwan?  I mean, could you give us a bit of insight into the level of China’s displeasure over this?  And is it expected to make progress in other areas difficult?


SENIOR ADMINISTRATION OFFICIAL:  Thanks so much for the question.  I’d say a few things on this.  One: You know, we’ve been saying from the beginning of this administration that, you know, we believe it’s important for the United States and China to work together on areas where our interests align, even when we have substantial differences or are engaged in competition in a number of different areas.


So, you know, our view is that this is what responsible nations do.  They manage areas where they have differences, and they find ways to work together for the good of their own peoples and for the common good of the people of the world.  Certainly, climate change, health security, counternarcotics — I’d put those all in that bucket.

You know, we’ve been very clear, from our perspective, that those are things that we need to be able to do.  And I do think that, again, part of the reason that we think it’s important for the leaders to be having these conversations with one another and for their senior officials to be having these conversations with one another, as they have in recent months and as we anticipate going forward, is very much in order to be able to manage these issues.

I, candidly, think it’s particularly important for us to have those kinds of conversations, particularly at the leader level, when tensions are high.


Q    Hi, [senior administration official].  Thanks for doing the call.  Quickly, to follow up on Taiwan — I’m curious: Did President Biden convey to Xi at all that he has no control really over whether Pelosi travels to Taiwan, given she’s in Congress and it’s a coequal branch of government?  I wonder if that was part of his message.

And then, on the economy: If recent Chinese readouts are any measure, the recent — from past calls, it sounds like Xi put a stronger emphasis on the importance of, sort of, economic coordination between the two countries.  So I’m just curious: Did you assess that as a major part of the conversation or major concern for China?  And what does that indicate to you about the — about China’s confidence in the health of its economy?  Thanks.


SENIOR ADMINISTRATION OFFICIAL:  Thanks, Michael.  Appreciate the questions.  Let me take the economic question first.


Again, not wanting to get into characterizing the PRC side’s views as a matter of principle, but we’d simply say, you know, certainly it is something that did — that did come up and that he did — you know, he did note belief in the importance of doing so.

I would say that I don’t think the — I wouldn’t necessarily read a difference in emphasis in public presentation as a difference in emphasis in private presentation — the two don’t always align — in, I think, how they read things out.

So — but, you know, in other words, I wouldn’t — I wouldn’t sort of read too much into that, in terms of what was actually discussed. 

But certainly, you know, coordination between the United States and China on macroeconomic issues is something that is of great importance.  It’s something we’ve done for quite some time.  It’s something Secretary Yellen discussed with Vice Premier Liu He when they had their virtual meeting on July 4th.  So I think it’s something that we certainly will be continuing to discuss.


You know, again, on the question of Taiwan, I’m not going to get into any details beyond what I’ve already laid out, other than to note as a statement of fact that, of course, the legislative branch is a separate branch of government, separate and coequal branch of government.  So I’ll leave it there.

Q    Hi.  Thanks for taking my question.  The readout you gave and the readout that was sent around doesn’t mention whether tariffs were discussed.  I’d just like to ask that question.  Did they get into that at all?  Has there been a discussion of if the U.S. removed some tariffs, is China reciprocating by moving — removing some of the tariffs that it imposed in retaliation?

And now that this call has been completed, does that sort of clear the way for President Biden to make a decision on what he’s going to do about tariffs?

SENIOR ADMINISTRATION OFFICIAL:  Great, thanks.  Thanks so much.  It’s funny when other stories push what has been the number-one story lower down the totem pole.  I was waiting for that one.

Yeah, so the — on the question of tariffs, President Biden explained to President Xi, you know, President Biden’s core concerns with China’s unfair economic practices, which harm American workers and harm American families.  But he did not discuss any potential steps he might take with President Xi.  And I would — it would be wrong to believe that somehow a decision on any next steps was somehow waiting for this conversation.

Q    Hi, this is actually Kristen Welker on the call for Molly.  Thank you, guys, so much for doing this.  We really appreciate it. 

Two questions.  I do have one on Taiwan, but I have another one as well.  On Taiwan, did the President come away from the call with the sense that President Xi would see a visit by the House Speaker as escalatory? 

And my second question is on Russia.  Does the President feel and did he make any headway as it relates to convincing President Xi to alter what administration officials have called behavior that has “acquiesced” to Russia?  How did he view that part of the call?  Was there any progress made there?  Thank you.

SENIOR ADMINISTRATION OFFICIAL:  Thanks so much.  So I’m not going to sort of characterize the President’s view.  I’ll let him speak for himself on his views of the conversation, but I’m happy to, again, speak to what the two of them discussed. 

And, you know, on that front — on sort of Russia and Ukraine — I would say, the — you know, that the two leaders really exchanged a sense of both where things stand at the moment with respect to the conflict as well as their, you know, concerns about where things might develop.  I would not characterize any particular breakthroughs that I personally saw in that conversation. 

But obviously, given, you know, the sort of global impact of Russia’s war in Ukraine, as well as the very specific impact on the Ukrainian people and on the European continent, it’s an incredibly important issue for the two leaders to continue to discuss and for President Biden to make very clear, you know, his concerns there. 

And, you know, on Taiwan, once again, you know, I’m not going to get into any further details about the conversation.

Q    Hi, can you hear me? 

SENIOR ADMINISTRATION OFFICIAL:  Hello.

Q    Yes, can you hear me?  Hi, can you hear me? 

SENIOR ADMINISTRATION OFFICIAL:  Yes. 

Q    Oh, excellent.  So one question is about the criticism that China is putting out on the CHIPS Act.  They’re criticizing it as a decoupling attempt by the U.S. that will benefit no one.  Can we have a response to that?

And then my second question: Did the leaders discuss South China Sea tensions?  Thanks.

SENIOR ADMINISTRATION OFFICIAL:  Thanks so much.  Thanks for teeing me up with a nice softball there on the CHIPS Act, which I think everybody saw the President’s reaction when it passed the House.

Yeah, so on the CHIPS Act, what I would just say on that is, you know, number one: You know, I think all of you have heard us talk about what our approach is to our — to this administration’s China strategy.  Essentially, it’s three parts: It’s invest in ourselves and align with our allies and partners in order to compete with China. 

And so, the passage of the CHIPS Act is one of the most important steps that we’ve been working on in order to really advance the invest piece of our effort. 

You know, enabling American innovation, enabling American leadership on a critical area of technology in order to make sure that we continue to have technological leadership here in the United States and don’t cede that to China is unbelievably important. 

And so, you know, from our perspective, we see the CHIPS Act as very much about ourselves and strengthening ourselves from within.  And so, you know, I think that that’s very much how we see that.  And that’s — you know, I think that that’s, you know, really, again, a core — a core pillar of our approach.

They did not have an opportunity to talk in depth about the South China Sea, but did talk, broadly speaking, about concerns about ways in which the, you know, Chinese activities are at odds with the international rules-based order.

MODERATOR:  Great, thank you.  And I think that’s all the time we have for questions.  But I believe, [senior administration official], you had one more thing you wanted to add?

SENIOR ADMINISTRATION OFFICIAL:  Yeah, great.  Thanks, [moderator].  Yeah, I just wanted to note — again, just to come back to a point from what I mentioned at the top, and then it was, I think, relevant to the question on, sort of, cooperation and yet at a moment of tensions. 

And one thing I would just note is that the two leaders very specifically tasked their teams to follow up on a number of these areas.  There was an exchange at the end about how much work they’d created for their teams in terms of following up on the specific pieces, and again, a conversation about a face-to-face meeting being worked out between the teams. 

So I would say that, from my perspective, there was very much a clear, affirmative agenda that was put forward and agreed to in — you know, by the leaders for the teams to work toward.  And I think that’s a really important piece to keep in mind that was, frankly, a pretty significant part of the conversation today.

MODERATOR:  Great.  Thank you.  And thanks, everyone, again, for joining.

As a reminder, this call was on background, attributable to a “senior administration official.”  And the contents are going to — embargo is going to lift after the call ends.  Thanks again.

3:47 P.M. EDT

 



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