By now it has become clear that COVID-19 is not another simple epidemic with respect to which health professionals occupy a central space. Instead, and for reasons that will be teased out over the course of the next several months, COVID-19 has metastasized from a crisis of the health establishments, to one that, in its own way, has begun to copy the more comprehensive scope of the 2007 economic collapse.
To speak to COVIS-19 as a mere health crisis no longer really reflects the reality of the crisis. It has become, in its own way, a crisis of globalization. More than the terrorist attacks of 11 September 2001, or the economic collapse of 2006, the 2020 COVID-19 epidemic will prove to be the space within which the strength of globalization, and of its institutions--meticulously developed over the last seventy years--will be tested.
What is becoming clear, through the fog of policy and panic--as well as of the herd instinct that characterizes and diminishes value the administrative cultures on which human society now relies for its collective protection--what is becoming clear, is that COVID-19 is quickly becoming a space for the transformations of social, political, and economic space will occur. Those transformations might not have been inevitable. And yet that inevitability may well be built into the bones of the cultures of administration that have now come to characterize the apparatus of both public and private institutions. Those cultures deepen as the basic premises of human organization--in Marxist-Leninist, liberal democratic, and theocratic systems--continue to align with respect to the ideal of the individual in the shadow of the state, and of the institution.
None of this is a criticism of events or decisions. How, effectively or reasonably, can one actually critique the inevitable? One seeks ot understand it; one might regret the decisions made, now a generation or more ago, which made these trajectories unavoidable. What is useful now is the extraction of the premises and habist of the new inevtable so that one can have a better sense of the way in which societies will manifest the arrangements within which order is maintained, resources allocated, and the individual embedded within insttituional frameworks. That is thw work that waits the end ogf the epidemic (in its current phase).
The G7 has provided us with hints about the trajectories for the movement forward. The version, of course, is that of liberal democracy. The Marxist-Leninist and theocratic versions will be slightly different (with respect to language, cultural referent, and sources of authority, to be sure). But they all point in the same direction.
The G7 Leaders' Statement, distributed 16 March 2020 follows. It nicely conflates health, economic and political policies, even as it seeks to manage the fundamental of globalization as the ordering framework within which crises like COVID-19 will be managed, and int he process society transformed. To see into the future, then, one ought to quite carefully read the G7 statement. Careful reading requires that one does not dismiss the Statement as propaganda, nor as sloganeering, and certainly not as bathos (though the temptation with respect to the last is almost overwhelming). Rather, the G7 Statement provides a sort of coded language of fear. Here one encounters fear: fear of instability, fear of a reversal of the trajectory of human progress, fear of the ability of institutions (including the state) to deliver a better life to its people in exchange for obedience and conformity, fear of anarchy (of order without a center), and fear of the reverse of a string center without order.
The conflation of the health of labor, and the development of productive forces, across global production chains, may appear to require the re-emergence of the state, not in and for itself, but as the institutional mechanism through which labor health is protected for the ultimate protection of global production chains (and thus, more indirectly, the welfare of labor whose welfare is a necessary predicate for the operation of the system as economics, as politics, and as culture. The "human tragedy" to which the G7 statement references, is not merely that of the loss of life--a bad enough consequence-, but rather its threat to the ways of life within which even the great powers now compete, that will be the most unsettling effect of this pandemic.