(All Pix Credit
here; except as noted)
Shenzhen, in its contemporary form, was born in part to demonstrate that a sound Socialist (that is a Chinese Marxist-Leninist) version of Hing Kong was not only possible, but ultimately the better model for both cities. Yet it was much more than that. Shenzhen was also designed to be the modern, built from the ground up, foundation, around which a "Pearl River" megacity could be built, into which the former UK and Portuguese colonies could be absorbed (in every sense of that term) along with the neighboring older cities (once known for their unruliness).
That mega-ci-ty could serve as the incarnation of the China Dream and suggest the ways in which the historically receding basis for social, political and economic organization (reflected in Hong Kong) could be recast and redirected for the new era. That recasting, then, might also serve as a model which might find value all along the land and maritime Silk Roads of the Belt and Road Initiative.
To some extent, the central government, under the leadership of the Chinese Communist Party, has been successful in achieving its first goal. Shenzhen is now an industrial powerhouse with a large and g¡rowing population sitting just beyond the old colonial border with Hong Kong. Yet the success has been molded as well by distributive realities--finance has been shifted to Shanghai in some respects--another variation of the absorption and transformation of a semi-colonial enclave in China, whose successful model, it is hoped, could be projected outward.
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But the ongoing situation in Hong Kong has, to some extent changed the character and pacing of these medium and longer term plans. The disturbances in Hong Kong have been treated by Chinese government and CCP authorities as directly challenging not so much their authority, but rather the authority of their guiding ideology. That is a challenge that cannot be ignored, even if Hong Kong is allowed to tolerate popular demonstrations over a longer term. Though much of those changes remain shrouded in secrecy, the State Council under the leadership of the CCP has, from time to time, suggested its content and direction.
Outwardly, government authorities have sought to cauterize the ideological threat by recasting it as foreign. To that end the central authorities have expended much effort in their Black Hand campaign (e.g.,
The Situation in Hong Kong: The 黑手 [black hand] of Foreign Interference and the Justification for Intervention). Beyond its utility in the ongoing trade negotiations with the United States and the protection of its Belt and Road Initiative (both understandable), recasting the Hong Kong narrative as foreign proves useful as discrediting it as contextually irrelevant, and its leaders as tools of a foreign power. This plays into now ancient and powerful Chinese discursive tropes about foreigners, unequal relationships, and threat.
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But it is not enough to recast the narrative in Hong Kong as foreign (and therefore not authentically Chinese). It is also necessary to substantially strengthen and put forward the preferred (and native) alternative. It is here that the Shenzhen model city ideal, and the historical imperative of the Pearl River mega-city, become important. Now the State Council and CCP Central Committee have put forward a counter-narrative that seeks to contrast the instability and decline of Hong Kong with the stability and progress of Shenzhen. To that end on 18 August 2019, via Xinhu News Agency, the authorities circulated "Opinions of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council on Supporting Shenzhen's Pioneering Demonstration Zone with Chinese Characteristics" [
中共中央国务院关于支持深圳建设中国特色社会主义先行示范区的意见 (二〇一九年八月九日)]. It's strategic utility at this moment and in that place is unmistakable:
At present, socialism with Chinese characteristics has entered a new era, supporting Shenzhen to hold high the banner of reform and opening up in the new era and building a demonstration zone for socialism with Chinese characteristics, which is conducive to promoting reform and opening up at a higher starting point, higher level, and higher goals, and forming a comprehensive deepening of Reform and comprehensively expand the new opening pattern; help to better implement the strategy of Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao Dawan District, enrich the new practice of "one country, two systems"; help to take the lead in exploring the new path of building a socialist modernization and strengthening the country, and provide strong support for the realization of the great rejuvenation of the China Dream. 当前,中国特色社会主义进入新时代,支持深圳高举新时代改革开放旗帜、建设中国特色社会主义先行示范区,有利于在更高起点、更高层次、更高目标上推进改革开放,形成全面深化改革、全面扩大开放新格局;有利于更好实施粤港澳大湾区战略,丰富“一国两制”事业发展新实践;有利于率先探索全面建设社会主义现代化强国新路径,为实现中华民族伟大复兴的中国梦提供有力支撑。
This post includes the text of "Opinions of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council on
Supporting Shenzhen's Pioneering Demonstration Zone with Chinese
Characteristics" [
中共中央国务院关于支持深圳建设中国特色社会主义先行示范区的意见 (二〇一九年八月九日)] in the original and in a crude English translation. A "pdf" of the original article may be accessed
HERE. Any calculation of the future of Hong Kong ought to bear in mind this important declaration of policy. To that end, ¶¶ 7-8 should be of special interest.